Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main slate on Fanduel starting at 7:05 PM ET. This full look will target this 9-game slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP. Followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad for our Discord app chat.
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Taking a quick look at this slate, we basically have nine games with no stud pitching, and plenty of good hitting options obviously will be the result of the lack of pitching. I think picking the right pitchers will be imperative tonight, as there are plenty of bats that could explode tonight. Last night I was able to cash again in my cash games making it two straight for me since my return. I went against the grain and used Aaron Nola, who ended up under 5% everywhere. Max Scherzer was the under performing chalk that I was able to avoid. He was around 40%. We could see the exact same scenario tonight. I think the huge winning odds from Vegas will boost CC Sabathia’s ownership, but at the same price point and also a favorite, I prefer Sean Newcomb. Let’s move along and find out why.
Sean Newcomb – Atlanta Braves – $8,300
Sabathia has been good this year, and the Yankees are heavy favorites at home tonight against the White Sox. The Sox lineup is pretty brutal without Jose Abreu, but it should be stacked with righties, and could still potentially spell trouble for Sabathia. I will feel much more comfortable with Newcomb here, as he just broke his slump against Miami by putting up 52 FDP, striking out eight over six frames. He did face tonight’s opponent Tampa Bay back in May, and was victorious in that game. He also picked up a quality start, six K’s and 46 FDP along the way. I think the floor here for Newcomb is 35-40, which would make for perfect value at this price point.
Freddy Peralta – Milwaukee Brewers – $8,700
This is a semi-biased pick here as I have been on Peralta since he got the call-up, and struck-out 13 Rockies at Coors Field in May. Every time he is in action, he has to be considered for his strikeout upside. What will keep his ownership down today, is the fact that his Brewers are in a hitters park in Cincy. If Peralta can keep the balls off of the bats though, he could be in for another big K performance. He faced the Reds in his most recent start as well, striking out eight over seven frames. It has been since mid-June since Peralta has hit double-digit strikeouts, but I have the gut feeling he does it today. There is huge risk here as he is also overpriced to be honest, but I think at less than 5% ownership, a 60 FDP game could break the slate.
***Bonus Cheap GPP Flyer – Adam Plutko – Cleveland Indians $5,800
Los Angeles Dodgers – (2B – Brian Dozier $3,300, 3B – Justin Turner $4,100, SS – Manny Machado $4,400, OF – Matt Kemp $3,000)
Another day, another variation of a Dodgers stack. We have no Red Sox today, and no Coors Field, but we do have Yankees at home, and of course, our favorite Dodgers in the Texas heat facing Rangers lefty Mike Minor. This 1-4 looks pretty solid today in this spot, and it should be easy to pay up for with plenty of value, and no pitching over $10K. One pivot here to save a little salary would be to go down to Kike Hernandez from Kemp. Hernandez is the always the likely candidate to be removed for a pinch-hitter after a pitching change though, so I will usually avoid him unless his price gets crazy low. This is likely chalk today with the Yankees studs a close second. I think it is a great spot to eat it though.
Philadelphia Phillies – (OF – Roman Quinn $2,100, OF – Rhys Hoskins $3,500, C – Wilson Ramos $2,700, 2B – Cesar Hernandez $2,900)
Anybody ever notice Fanduel pricing is odd. (To put it nicely). Seriously WTF is going on here? These guys are priced like they are facing Scherzer on the road, when in reality, they will face lefty Gio Gonzalez in the heat and humidity in Philly. Gonzalez has pitched great at times this season, but he is not $9K+ today like his opponents bats are priced to be. He is coming off a good start against the Mets, but that isn’t saying much. I love Hoskins in this spot, and hope he goes underowned, as he is my #DFSHRCALL for today. Ramos is a lefty killer, and Quinn can save you money for a stud at another position while getting run at the lead off spot. The Phillies are getting Vegas love as well, with a 5.1 run projection.
Top Value Bats:
SS – Elvis Andrus – Texas Rangers – $2,800
Andrus struggled a bit on the recent road trip, picking up just two hits in six games. He seemed comfortable back home last night, as he picked up two hits and drove in a run. Tonight the Rangers get Dodgers fantastic lefty Alex Wood, but the hitting conditions in Texas tonight have me leaning in the favor of these cheap Ranger bats for GPP’s. Any time a player of this caliber is under $3K he is in play. Speaking of Rangers happy to be home and facing a lefty, let’s check out our next value play.
3B – Adrian Beltre – Texas Rangers – $2,600
Beltre is surely aging and not hitting bombs at the rate he used to. He is still only DH’ing up to this point as he is not completely healthy, but facing a lefty at home, Beltre is in play. I don’t necessarily think 3B is the place to pay down today, as the three guys at the top all look like pretty damn good plays. However, if you are trying to mix it up in a GPP, consider these cheap Texas righties at home against Alex Wood in the heat.
OF – Trey Mancini – Baltimore Orioles – $2,800
Here is some chalk for you. Add Craig Gentry at minimum price batting second as well. Mancini is on fire though in case you haven’t been paying attention. Tonight the Orioles will face Blue Jays lefty Ryan Borucki, who has been mostly off for the month of August. There is possibly nobody hotter in the league than Mancini. In his last four games, He is 8-for-15, with four doubles, a triple, and two home runs. This equals an astounding 26.7 FDP average over that span. I will be rolling with him and Gentry tonight, as they are just too hot and have the great match-up.
OF – Tyler O’Neill – St. Louis Cardinals – $2,800
A sneakier GPP type value today could come in the form of O’Neill. He will likely be completely overlooked, as we have the red hot Mancini at the exact same price point. O’Neill has been hot in his own right, going 5-for-18 in his last four, and smacking four home runs in his last five games. The Cards will face Pittsburgh righty Trevor Williams, who struggles to get hitters out from both sides of the plate. If you want a good pivot off of Mancini, look right here.
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