Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main slate on Fanduel starting at 7:05 PM ET. This full look will target this 6-game slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad for our Discord app chat.
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Tonight we are looking at a pretty loaded six-game slate from my perspective. We have a couple of aces facing each other in Houston. we have the Dodgers coming into Coors, we have the Yankees at home facing a rookie pitcher in Ariel Jurado, and we also have the Red Sox facing a lefty. Overall, the thing that might be a little tough to find is value, but that will open up a little bit as lineups start dropping.
The thing I like about this slate is that people may pay up for Justin Verlander as he is a favorite at home against the Mariners, while overlooking the other side of things. This is the match-up of aces, as Seattle will counter with left-handed strikeout machine James Paxton. For the $1800 discount, give me Paxton 10 out of 10 times…. Well given their current rosters at least. Houston is without three of their best hitters, as Jose Altuve, George Springer, and Carlos Correa remain out. This looks a like a great spot for Paxton and if I decide to play cash games, he will be my pitcher. Since we already talking about it, let’s continue to the top plays.
James Paxton – Seattle Mariners – $10,000
Well like we started getting into it above The Astros are missing 3/4 of the top of their lineup. They do continue to win games however, but are still not scoring many runs in those games. I am attacking the quality start and the strikeout upside here with Paxton. And of course, the massive discount compared to Verlander.
In two starts since the All-Star break, Paxton has picked up one win with two quality starts, and struck out 15 over 14 innings, while allowing just three earned runs. Not sure if this will be chalk in cash games or not to be honest. If enough value opens up, playing Verlander will likely be more popular.
J.A. Happ – New York Yankees – $8,400
Happ came down with some hand, foot, and mouth disease last week but is ready to go after a brief DL stint. He will be making his second start as a Yankee, and will be looking to build on a win. One major benefit to Happ today on a short slate may not seem like much, but in large field tournaments, you would be surprised. Happ still has the DL tag on FanDuel, one of their many mistakes to exploit.
The Rangers come into Yankee Stadium fairly hot and producing runs, and it will be interesting to see if they can keep that up on the road. I am guessing they cannot. Happ faced these current Rangers a little bit in his time with the Blue Jays, and has put up fantastic numbers in a small sample size. Out of the active bats on the Rangers roster, Happ has struck out 18 in 59 plate appearances, has given up one home run to Robinson Chirinos, and has given up just seven hits for an opponents batting average of .123.
Boston Red Sox – (1B – Steve Pearce $3,500, OF – Mookie Betts $4,900, OF – J.D. Martinez $5,000, 3B – Eduardo Nunez $2,500)
Maybe a little surprising for some I hope that I would stick with Boston here. We all know the numbers on Betts and Martinez as they are the best hitters in baseball at the moment, and we will see the lefty crusher Pearce in the lineup tonight as well. The Blue Jays will have young left-hander Ryan Borucki on the hill, and he has been solid in seven starts thus far. My hope is that some will see Borucki’s 2.30 ERA, and the fact that he has six quality starts out of those seven. He was solid against the Yankees in early July and lights out in his last start against Seattle, allowing just 4 hits over eight innings of shutout ball.
The one thing catching my eye though in all of this kids good starts is the one bad one. That one came here at Fenway Park, where he was roughed up by these Red Sox for eight hits and four earned runs over just three innings. He did not give up any homers in that game, but Betts tripled twice. With Coors field in play, and the Yankees having a massive run projection, Boston could actually be sneaky here. That should pretty much never happen when they face any lefty with Pearce and Martinez in the lineup.
***Cheap Bonus Stack – Tampa Bay Rays – (OF – Mallex Smith $3,300, 1B – Ji-Man Choi $2,200, SS – Willy Adames $2,600)
Top Value Bats:
1B – Josh Bell – Pittsburgh Pirates – $2,000
Bell returned from the DL just in time to get a game in at Coors Field and go 0-for-4. It hasn’t been a great year for Bell given the high expectations, but this is a similar situation with what happened with Rafeal Devers yesterday. Fanduel seems to be broken. Not sure why they put players at $2K when they go on the DL, when it would seem easier to just leave their price at wherever it was when they got hurt. But I don’t know, that just seems too easy I guess.
I do not expect Bell to put up 30+ like Devers did here so please do not misunderstand that. I am merely referring to Fanduel’s egregious pricing errors. Bell will start, likely hit sixth, and maybe have an opportunity to drive in some runs. He is hitting .263 with six home runs, so there are worse punts. For it seems like a no-brainer to lock him in my utility spot and take whatever he gives me, so I can pay up for some of these hitters.
2B – Jonathan Villar – Baltimore Orioles – $2,800
Villar is total hit or miss, but is still underpriced for a leadoff hitter. I wrote him up last time I wrote this article if I’m not mistaken, and he was just $2,400 then. He went 3-for-5 that night and scored 12.5 FDP which was easily was a win at that price. Tampa is getting a ridiculous amount of love in this match-up, but I think the O’s will string a few hits together at some point and score some runs. Unless you are paying up for Brian Dozier at this position which is very reasonable, I would turn to the value Villar offers if he continues to hit near the top of the lineup.
SS – Brandon Crawford – San Francisco Giants – $2,800
Our last value play of the day will be Crawford. After a tough series in Arizona against the Diamondbacks in which he went hitless, Crawford bounced back well upon returning home. In two games against the Astros, he went 3-for-7 with a double and a home run. I know the Giants are not usually a DFS target darling by any means, but having a nice cheap one-off against Ivan Nova is never a bad idea. Crawford can be a streaky hitter, and he has been heating up now. I will take my chances with him in a good match-up under $3K almost always.
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