Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main slate on Fanduel starting at 7:10 PM ET. This full look will target this 9-game slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad for our Discord app chat.
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Kenta Maeda – Los Angeles Dodgers – $9,100
With all things considered for today it is looking like Maeda may be the pick for cash games. Gerrit Cole is over 11K against Seattle, and will likely struggle to strike guys out. It may also be tough for him to pick up a win, as his Astros travel to face the Mariners, and they just lost their top bat in Jose Altuve to the DL. On the flip side of that game, Paxton should be highly considered for cash games and would be the focus here, should we find out he has no restrictions or pitch limit coming off of the DL himself. However, the M’s may want to be careful with their young ace, and could very well ease him back into action. David Price may get some consideration as well coming off of two fantastic starts and facing the Phillies at home, but he is just too streaky for me for cash games.
So let’s dig in to Maeda. The price is certainly fair here for a guy whose strikeout numbers continue to increase, while his ERA continues to decrease. Over his last five starts, he has averaged 8.6 K’s per game, picking up three wins and two quality starts. He should be able to be right around there again tonight, as his Dodgers will host the strikeout prone Brewers tonight. It’s too early for me to tell who will chalk in cash games as nothing looks safe really tonight, but look for people to flock to Cole who probably will not pay off his $11,100 price tag. With Maeda for $2,000 less in salary and in a spot where he should put up 40+ FDP, I’ll take him instead.
Tyler Anderson – Colorado Rockies – $8,600
I personally have not been playing much in cash games, and if I do tonight, I will play Anderson here actually over Maeda. While Maeda may project out a little better with the higher K rate, Anderson looks to actually be the safer bet, although he faces the Cardinals in St. Louis. The Cards have been hot coming out of the break against lefties, but Anderson has also put up some great numbers over his last five starts.
In that five game span, Anderson has surrendered just four earned runs over 35.1 innings. More impressive maybe is that four of those five starts were at Coors Field. No matter where he has pitched recently, Anderson has been on his game, as this stretch of good pitching also includes five straight quality starts. I can see less than 10% ownership here and a 40+ FDP game tonight for Anderson, and I will likely be all in on his recent consistency factor.
*Cheap GPP Flyer: Edwin Jackson – Oakland Athletics – $6.400*
Atlanta Braves – (OF – Ronald Acuna $3,500, 2B – Ozzie Albies $3,900, 1B – Freddie Freeman $3,800, 3B – Johan Camargo $2,800)
The Indians and the Diamondbacks look to be today’s darling stacks, but I will go the way of targeting some likely lower owned options instead. It’s pretty crazy to see all of these guys under $4K, especially considering they face Marlins lefty Wei-Yin Chen at home, and his home/road splits are just incredible. On the road, Chen’s ERA is over 10! While righties hit him much better overall, the Braves lefties hit lefties well, so they are certainly in play as well. Freeman has seen the ball well against Chen in his career, going 7-for-15 with a triple.
Another part of this stack I like a bunch other than Freeman, is Camargo. 3B is loaded, especially in this price range, so I will make sure to include Camargo in my Braves stack. This looks like a great spot for him, as he has taken Chen deep once in five at-bats in his career.
Minnesota Twins – (OF – Eddie Rosario $3,600, SS – Jorge Polanco $2,800, 1B – Logan Morrison $2,800, OF – Jake Cave $2,200)
My second favorite stack of the day will be the Twins, but keep an eye out to make sure none of them are traded by game time! Truthfully Brian Dozier could be here in this stack, but the fact he could get traded has me a little put off. Instead, let’s focus on the Twins lefties, as they host Shane Bieber, and the Cleveland Indians.
Bieber has regressed to the mean a bit after his fun first few starts. Not only that, what has also developed are his struggles with left-handed bats. The Twins will likely have six lefties in their lineup tonight, so I am expecting Bieber to have a hard time with them. Rosario is the top play here, but, Morrison may be my favorite, as he homered in their last match-up. Cave comes in as my sneaky GPP guy hitting from the bottom of the order, as a home run at his price would obviously pay off his low value price tag.
Top Value Bats:
1B – Justin Bour – Miami Marlins – $2,500
One for team BvP here with Bour. In 25 plate appearances against Atlanta starter Julio Teheran, Bour is 7-for-17, with a double, triple, homer, and eight walks. He has struggled quite a bit this season with an average of just .228, and is cold right now going 0 for his last 11. However, the BvP has me thinking he goes deep today, and connects on his 17th home run of the season.
3B – Christian Villanueva – San Diego Padres – $2,700
Third base is loaded as usual, but Villy versus a lefty looks to be like the best option here. I really like Camargo, who I mentioned in the Braves stack for one, and maybe even better yet is Adrian Beltre, who has nine hits in his last four games and faces a lefty. Difference for me here is that Beltre faces Robbie Ray, who is just a better pitcher than Derek Holland who Villy faces. Ray has struggled a bit but was good in his last start, and Holland may have decent numbers, but gives up the long ball a bit.
OF – Nick Martini – Oakland Athletics – $2,600
Well he was probably a disappointment over the weekend for those that played him in Coors Field, so I expect the hype train to be over here. I hope so, because he still presents tremendous value at this price as a lead off hitter. Martini is still too cheap, as he has hit double-digit FDP in three of his last four starts. He will be facing Blue Jays righty Marco Estrada making his first start off of the DL, and could be auditioning as a potential trade piece for a contender. Estrada was good against Oakland in May, but Martini was not around then. I expect him to get on base a couple times and score a couple runs, which should easily help him hit value.
OF – Melky Cabrera – Cleveland Indians – $2,200
Our last value target for today will be Cabrera, who has been pretty solid since returning from AAA and claiming the everyday RF job. In fact, he recently just had a seven game hitting streak snapped because he was used as a pinch-hitter on Saturday and failed to get a hit. All he did yesterday was bounce back, going 3-for-5 with a HR and 25.7 FDP. The Indians get Ervin Santana and the Twins, and are one of the days top favorites, with a 5.0 run projection. If you need a solid GPP punt in the outfield tonight it doesn’t get much better than this and Martini.
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