Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main slate on Fanduel starting at 7:05 PM ET. This full look will target this 4-game slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad for our Discord app chat.
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Tyler Skaggs – Los Angeles Angels – $9,300
First of all, let’s just skip the cash game portion today, as this is just a four game slate with one pitcher in a good spot. Skaggs will be chalk in your cash games should you decide to play them, and I would definitely eat the chalk in this spot. David Price will likely eat up some ownership being he is facing Baltimore, who is the only team he has thrown a complete game against this season. Price is still a little too erratic for me for cash games, but I can see him being GPP viable. I don’t really like to target the Orioles with lefties though, so Skaggs is my guy 100%. Skaggs has been fantastic this season up to this point, posting a 2.68 ERA with 106 strikeouts in 104 innings pitched. Tonight he gets the White Sox at home, and his Angels are heavy favorites.
So you want to fade the chalk you say? OK I have a couple of options for you. As a disclaimer, I do not think I will personally be going here tonight, as I think literally every pitcher on this slate is going to get hit tonight. However, here are two players I considered.
Jon Gray – Colorado Rockies – $8,200
I was actually all set to pay down to Gray to fit another bat or two, but this pop-up forecasted thunderstorm is always something to worry about when it comes to Coors Field. I don’t think the game will be postponed, but an early delay could cause an early exit for Gray and Astros starter Charlie Morton. Bottom line is we have some offsetting factors in this one, making it hard to predict. Both Gray and Morton are good pitchers, but it is Coors Field and we all know what can happen. For me, there are just better spots today, and I am on team fade Coors.
James Shields – Chicago White Sox – $7,300
So you said screw it I am paying up for Coors now that this idiot said to fade. Now you need a pitcher to make that work. I mean, unless you want to go with Martin Perez and his 8.05 ERA in 34.2 innings or Dylan Bundy against the Red Sox you are pretty much here. Shields has pitched well above expectations and will likely be more owned than you would think tonight, but do you really want to roster him against the Angels? I don’t know, nothing seems safe to me tonight aside from Skaggs.
Texas Rangers – (OF – Shin-Soo Choo $3,300, 2B – Rougned Odor $3,400, 3B – Adrian Beltre $2,700, OF – Willie Calhoun $2,400)
Let’s start here by saying the Red Sox are always a top stack much like Coors Field, but the Red Sox outfielders are a bit too expensive today to roster with Skaggs so let’s look elsewhere. Like right here in this game. After 23 runs combined by both teams last night in extra innings, you would think, how could they possibly score more runs? Well in the heat and humidity in a hitters park, and now two below mediocre starting pitchers going today, we could see 30 runs in this game. The bullpens are thin, so Edwin Jackson and Martin Perez will be asked to pitch deep and I say good luck with all of that. Feel free to slide in Elvis Andrus or Joey Gallo in your Rangers stack if you feel the need.
Oakland Athletics – (2B – Jed Lowrie $3,200, OF – Khris Davis $4,100, OF – Stephen Piscotty $3,200, OF – Mark Canha $2,700)
I probably won’t be alone on this due to Fanduel’s pricing here, but going all in on this game with Skaggs just seems like the right move to find the cash. Davis is back and crushing again, and is a guy you need to play when he is hot. Canha went yard yesterday, and now has a respectable .257 average with 13 homers and 40 RBI’s in his limited role. The home runs and RBI are especially impressive for a guy who doesn’t play every day. Piscotty is on fire. He has homered in back-to-back games and has put up 59.6 FDP in those two games. Lowrie also found his swing yesterday, connecting with his 17th home run. Against Perez, I am all in on the A’s for the third day in a row.
Top Value Bats:
SS – Tim Beckham – Baltimore Orioles – $2,700
Since the trade of Manny Machado to the Dodgers, nobody has responded more than Beckham. Finally out of the shadow maybe in his opinion? I don’t know… Either way we have a lead-off hitter here under $3K finally comfortable as an everyday shortstop. He has homered twice in the last five days, which doubled his season total, and to me, proves he is feeling good.
3B – Rafael Devers – Boston Red Sox – $2,900
Freshly off the DL, Devers is also still priced below $3K. Tonight the Red Sox will face Bundy, who can be attacked from both sides from the plate. Lefties tend to hit for better average against him, and righties for more power. If you need to spend down to fit in Mookie Betts or J.D. Martinez to make a Red Sox stack, consider Devers for some value to help it work salary wise. In four games since his return from injury, Devers is 4-for-15 with just four singles. He will likely hit sixth or seventh in the lineup, and is good pivot off of what should be chalk Adrian Beltre.
OF – Danny Valencia – Baltimore Orioles – $2,500
Our last value play for the day is for team BvP. Now we all know Valencia is a guy who primarily only plays against lefties, and usually bats clean-up and drives in a few runs here and there. He has only homered once this month, but I have a hunch he gets one here today off Price. He has not homered off of Price in his career as of yet, but in an acceptable sample size of 30 plate appearances, Valencia is 15-for-25 with the only extra base hits being three doubles. He will likely be ignored today with Gallo relatively the same price, so he could be a sneaky pivot that could pay off.
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