Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main slate on Fanduel starting at 6:05 CST. This full look will target this 14 game slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad for our Discord app chat.
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It’s getting weird in here. I am going to leave this spot blank today. Doesn’t mean I won’t be playing cash games today, I just will not be paying up for whoever ends up being chalk. Honestly I was going to write up Stephen Strasburg here, as he has been good against the Braves in two starts against them thus far this year. Furthermore, the price is right on him at just $10K, but the fact that he is fresh off of the DL and could be on a pitch count has me saying no thanks.
Trevor Bauer also will garner some ownership, but at $12,200 you need a ceiling game out of him which would be at least 60 FDP. Pitching conditions will be rough for Bauer in Texas against the Rangers, so I do not expect an FDP game over 40. I can’t trust either tonight, so our tournament pitcher we are about to cover will also be my cash pitcher. He has had a couple of consecutive rough outings, but the egregious pricing error on FanDuel, where he is the minimum price in a dream match-up, has me all in on this next guy in all formats.
Sam Gaviglio – Toronto Blue Jays $5,500
Give me all the Gaviglio!! Let’s put it this way… For the rest of the season when you start your daily research, you can start your pitchers by looking at who is facing the Orioles that day. This lineup will now be especially bad against right-handed pitching for the foreseeable future, with the trade of superstar Manny Machado to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Gaviglo hasn’t been great as of late, but still is a good young up-and-coming starting pitcher in this Blue Jays rotation. In any case, Gaviglio is pitching at home, where he as been better as opposed to the road, and he is minimum price. I don’t expect him to score more than 30 FDP, but 25-30 seems reasonable in this spot.
Cleveland Indians – (SS – Francisco Lindor $4,500, 3B – Jose Ramirez $4,800, 1B – Edwin Encarnacion $3,600, OF – Brandon Guyer $2,000)
If you play MLB DFS day in and day out, and you look at this match-up here against Perez, how can you not love the Indians? I think the two highest owned stacks will we see tonight will be some variation of this one, and the Boston Red Sox, who face lefty Matthew Boyd and the Tigers. The threat of rain in Detroit may swing more ownership to the Indians side however, so expect this to be fairly chalky.
We have one of the best hitting teams in a hitter friendly environment against arguably the worst starting pitcher on the slate. All three of my lineups today will have some part of this, whether it is the value in Guyer who should hit fifth in the lineup, or Lindor or JRam as a one-off. I am not going to get cute here and fade this.
Los Angeles Dodgers – (2B – Max Muncy $3,900, SS – Manny Machado $4,200, OF – Kike Hernandez $3,000, OF – Matt Kemp $3,400)
Holy F word this lineup is super stacked now, can you believe this team still has Corey Seager as well? Another team I have a ton of interest in today is the Dodgers. They will come out of the break on a road trip that heads out east, stopping for a weekend series in Milwaukee. It will be interesting to see how the lineup card looks with the addition of Machado, as he will likely slide in to the two or three spot.
The Brewers will have lefty veteran Wade Miley on the bump, who has only pitched 11.1 innings this season, and will have his hands full here. Kemp has been fantastic this year at the age of 33, sporting a .310 batting average with 15 homeruns. The addition of Machado will likely move him down in the lineup a spot, which may help his RBI production. Muncy hits lefties, righties, and whatever you can throw at him lately, I like the fact he may be ignored here in favor of other Dodgers. Add Hernandez into the stack at $3K for some value, as he also has the ability to take a left-hander yard at anytime. He quietly has 16 home runs this season.
Top Value Plays:
C – Evan Gattis – Houston Astros – $2,700
Since Gattis’ price got way down here and I see he faces a lefty today in Tyler Skaggs, I decided to give his splits a peek and it appears I was due. For 2018 at least, it appears Gattis is hitting lefties and righties about the same average wise, with three more homers facing right-handed pitching. I don’t necessarily want to attack Skaggs here as he has been great this year, but the Astros are always a tough test.
So why continue to give Gattis a look? Turns out he has been a MUCH better hitter on the road this year. He has hit 12 of his 19 homers away from Houston, and has driven in almost twice as many runs, with 41 of his 63 RBI’s not coming at Minute Maid Park. He has a good shot to go yard here, and is worth this price tag.
2B – Joey Wendle – Tampa Bay Rays – $2,400
Right before the break, Wendle went on a nice run in the last series in Minnesota against the Twins, and overall has been a pretty consistent hitter over the last couple of weeks. He hasn’t gotten any respect as far as his salary goes, despite three straight multi-hit games. He doubled, tripled and homered in those three, while driving in six, and putting up double-digit FDP’s in all three. I love attacking Marlins starter Dan Straily today with some cheap Tampa bats, and Wendle is my top play from this angle, but we’re not quite done here.
OF – Mallex Smith – Tampa Bay Rays – $2,200
One more Ray to highlight here, as Smith is a guy I like to target for his ability to do a little of everything. Now he is not a power guy, but his speed can pick you up some extra points. Again, Tampa is facing Straily and the Marlins, and I think they are in a good position to score a bunch of runs tonight. If you want to make it a cheap stack, I think you can add either Jake Bauers or CJ Cron to the mix with Smith and Wendle.
OF – Stephen Duggar – San Francisco Giants – $2,400
Duggar now has six games under his belt, and seems comfortable in his leadoff role against right-handed pitching. Tonight the light hitting Giants will face Oakland journeyman veteran Edwin Jackson, and although the bats have been cold, Duggar has been a bright spot. In six games, he has hit five doubles, and had three double-digit FDP performances. The Giants are mostly ignored for DFS purposes, as they just don’t score very many runs, but if there was a guy to target with these lefties it would be Jackson. Brandon Belt and Brandon Crawford could very well be great plays at low ownership if you are looking for a GPP stack.
That’s it for today. Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!