MLB FANCAVE FULL LOOK (FANDUEL): 7/12/18
Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main seven game slate on Fanduel starting at 6:05 CST. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad here for our Discord app chat.
We really have a great collaboration of minds in our discord app chat covering all sports at all times. We even have a betting channel all set up waiting for it’s legal arrival. Ask any of our experts a question regarding your lineups at any point of the day and we will respond as soon as we can. We all do have lives besides this however, so please understand that your questions will be answered at our earliest possible availability. You can join here for as little as $5.00 per month.
We have one weather spot to watch and it is still up in the air as of this point. Storms are expected to roll in to Minneapolis at some point this evening. I am just a few miles from Target Field, and a couple of hours ago it didn’t look good. However, the sun is out now, and the forecast keeps pushing the rain back an hour or so at a time. Right now the worst of it looks to arrive at 8:00 PM, so use caution with pitching, as we could see a lengthy delay at some point.
It’s a shame really, because the Twins are hosting the Rays and lefty Blake Snell, and this is a fantastic spot for him. The Twins have been putrid against lefties, and Snell is still pitching with a chip on his shoulder after his All-Star snub. Unless things change weather wise I can’t go here, especially with the incredible amount of pitching we have to choose from today. I think I have a plan as far as how to attack this slate, so let’s proceed.
Max Scherzer – Washington Nationals – $12,000
Max against the Mets huh? Well this seems a little unfair but you never know. I have so much confidence that Scherzer will break 60 FDP today that I will pay this price in cash games. We don’t have Coors on the slate, and you will have to fork out a pretty penny to afford JD Martinez and Mookie Betts, so I will be paying up for what I expect to be a ceiling game from Scherzer. The Mets have been awful, and it’s been over a month since Scherzer’s last ceiling games when he posted a 67 and 70. He is due, today is the day.
Ross Stripling – Los Angeles Dodgers – $9,500
In order to stack anything comfortably today we have to pay down to at least under $10K, and I am going right to the All-Star Ross Stripling. He hasn’t had monster fantasy games as of late, but he has been one of the more consistent pitchers in the National League. Since entering the rotation for good in May, Stripling has started 11 games, and amassed a 7-2 record with seven quality starts, while sporting a 2.22 ERA on the season.
Today he faces the Padres at pitcher friendly PetCo, who he dropped his highest FDP game of the year (60) on at the end of May. That game was in L.A. though, so don’t expect a repeat that spectacular. I can make my stacks work with him with the value plays that will be highlighted here at the end of the article, and I love the upside at this price for Stripling.
Los Angeles Dodgers – (OF – Joc Pederson $3,300, 2B – Max Muncy $4,400, 1B – Cody Bellinger $4,200, OF – Andrew Toles $2,000)
After avoiding the Dodgers for a couple days, I am back. The addition of Toles back to the big club with Yasiel Puig landing on the DL gives us a nice value bat at the minimum price to complete this all lefty stack. I look for the big bats of the other three to have big games here tonight, as the Dodgers will face struggling Padres right-hander Tyson Ross.
Ross had a decent June picking up three quality starts, but July hasn’t been so great to him. In two starts this month thus far, one at Arizona and one at home against the Pirates, he has surrendered 15 earned runs in just seven innings. On the season, he has a .381 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters, along with a .348 wOBA at home. All signs point to the heavy hitting Pederson, Bellinger, and Muncy here, and this is my top GPP stack of the night. (again)
Washington Nationals – (SS – Trea Turner $3,900, 3B – Anthony Rendon $3,900, OF – Bryce Harper $4,300, 1B – Mark Reynolds $3,200)
The Nats have really been a hit or miss team as of late. I personally never seem to get them right, but I am on them today against Mets lefty Steven Matz. Matz has been awful against right-handers, allowing them to slug at a .434 clip, while dishing out 11 home runs to them already this year. For that reason, Rendon is my top pick to leave the yard today.
I am a big fan of at least pairing him up with at least Turner, who is leading off tonight, and Reynolds batting fifth. Reynolds destroys lefties, and is nearly a lock today. Matz has been pretty good against lefties however, so leaving Harper out of the stack and using that salary elsewhere might be a better choice. Inserting Michael Taylor, another lefty killer, to save that salary looks like a good plan as well.
Top Value Plays:
1B – Steve Pearce – Boston Red Sox – $3,500
I’m going to have to lock Pearce in here today. Not only is facing lefty J.A. Happ, he is also facing his former Toronto Blue Jays teammates. Revenge game and a lefty smasher hitting clean-up in this Red Sox lineup? All-in, no brainer, lock in cash. Nothing more needs to be said.
2B – Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Toronto Blue Jays – $2,300
Well I was all set to reluctantly lock in Josh Harrison, in this spot at $2,800, but then we got both lineups just in time. Harrison, to my surprise, was not leading off. For me, the extra at-bat a hitter is likely to receive in a game at the top of the order is something I look for in cash games. The fact that he is hitting seventh made me scratch him off. Thankfully the Blue Jays released their lineup, and again I am surprised and very happy to see Gurriel hitting second today. Another lock in cash games in my opinion. Just look at the game log and the consistency the last week or so. For this price, I’ll give him a shot against David Price.
SS – Brad Miller – Milwaukee Brewers – $2,500
Not my favorite play here today, but one I am going with. Miller started off hot when he returned from injury, but has since cooled off quite a bit. He is, however, priced back in that area where he can easily pay off his price tag. Miller is still a good hitter, and at a position where I truly only like Trea Turner today, I don’t mind taking another crack at Miller.
OF – Randal Grichuk – Toronto Blue Jays – $2,500
Another Blue Jay here with leadoff man Grichuk. Price has been just an average pitcher this year, and has faced these Jays twice already this year. He didn’t get out of the fifth in either game, although he didn’t exactly get rocked, allowing just two earned runs in each game. Grichuk is coming off of an 0-for-4, but has been hitting the ball well as of late. He is a another solid cash play, and exactly what we look for when we are paying up for pitching.
(Honorable Mention: OF – Jordan Luplow $2,000, C – Elias Diaz $2,800, OF – Michael Taylor $2,500)
That’s it for today. Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!