Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main 14-game slate on Fanduel starting at 6:05 CST. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite value bats that I will be building my lineups around. Before we get to our breakdown, I want to take a minute to drop a little ad here for our Discord app chat.
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Alright let’s dig in to today. The weather looks great everywhere so everything is in play.
Chris Sale – Boston Red Sox – $12,500
My top pitching option on the board today is Sale. Jacob deGrom is a close 2nd, but Sale has been just a smidgen more dialed in over the last month or so. An argument for deGrom can be made based on their opponents strikeout rate, as Sale will face the Royals, who strike out fewer times than anyone else in the league. However, the Red Sox will face Jason Hammel and are huge Vegas favorites to win this game, so I like Sale for the win and quality start, along with the K upside.
Over his last five games, Sale has five quality starts and three wins, and has averaged 10.8 K’s per game. Also in that span, he has not scored less than 52 FDP, and his last two starts went for 64 and 70 FDP, respectively. When there are two of the best to pick from, I am going with the best of the best, on the better team, in the better spot to win the game. I am going with Sale in my cash lineups, but deGrom should be safe as well.
Freddy Peralta – Milwaukee Brewers – $8,400
Tonight may be the last time we see Peralta under $9K. This kid is good, and can strike guys out at a monster clip. Tonight his Brewers face the Braves at home, and while some seem to think their lefties could be trouble, I think Peralta prevails. Atlanta is a team that doesn’t strikeout a whole lot, but if you look at their last three games, only four more teams have struck out more than the them. They are in a funk right now on a three game losing streak, and I look for Peralta to be fired up, as he will make just his second start at home.
Peralta’s only start at home was against Kansas City, who we mentioned doesn’t strike out very much. In that game he struck out 10 over seven frames, en route to 61 FDP. Combine his upside at his price point, with the fact that he allows me to complete my stacks and I am all set for lock at noon today.
Los Angeles Dodgers – (OF – Joc Pederson $3,600, 2B – Max Muncy $4,400, 1B – Cody Bellinger $4,200, SS – Chris Taylor $3,200)
So I have been stacking the Dodgers all week and it has been quite profitable. Ever hear that Led Zeppelin song “I can’t quit you, baby”? Does that make me sound super old? Anyways, that opening lyric sung by Robert Plant echoes through my head when I think about my newfound man-crushes. I’ve always been a fan of Bellinger, but where did this Muncy dude come from? That is a rhetorical question of course, because I know Oakland let him go. Muncy’s price is finally up to that point where it is becoming a question, but until he slows down, I’ll have my shares.
Pederson has been hitting well as of late as well, as his salary has jumped over $1000 from where it was a week ago. I guess three home-runs in your last six starts will do that for you. I also have a soft spot for Taylor, who I was very high on for season-long fantasy. He started out slow, but since his return from injury, he has been a great piece to the bottom half of this lineup.
Washington Nationals – (SS – Trea Turner $3,700, OF – Juan Soto $3,700, OF – Bryce Harper $4,300, 1B – Matt Adams)
Safe to say the Nats were happy to get Adams back in the middle of the lineup from his DL stint. Adams came back in a big way, helping fuel the Nationals huge nine-run comeback in a thriller with the Marlins last night that ended up with a 14-12 Washington victory. Adams was 4-for-5 with a double, and three runs scored. At just $3,000 today he is a lock for me in cash games to help me roster Sale.
Soto finally snapped a mini-slump as well, as he seemed to get over his 2-for-19 rut with a double and three RBI’s. I think everyone was locked in, and maybe a nine-run deficit to the lowly Marlins was exactly what this team needed to break out. If you watch baseball and don’t know what Trea Turner did last night you need to stop playing DFS, it isn’t for you. I’ll save recapping his monster night and move along to the value plays.
Top Value Plays:
2B – Ketel Marte – Arizona Diamondbacks – $2,600
We always love big games from our cheap value guys. Marte did just that for those that rostered him to fit Justin Verlander last night. He had a big night, going yard in the eighth inning off of left-handed reliever Matt Strahm, and finished 2-for-4 with 31.4 FDP. He is kind of a streaky player and doesn’t string together too many big games, but as a switch-hitter, this dude hits lefties.
Hitting .306 now on the season, with 12 doubles, three triples and three homers from the right side of the plate, Marte could end up having another big night on the cheap against Padres rookie Joey Lucchesi. Great value play here at a decent position. Unless you are paying up for Muncy, look down here.
3B – Martin Prado – Miami Marlins – $2,400
Prado returned from the DL just like Adams in that thriller last night, and also had a nice day. He was just 1-for-5, but connected on his first home run of the season off of Nationals under the weather starter Jeremy Hellickson. He should be back in the heart of the Marlins lineup today against Nats starter Gio Gonzalaz. At a position where I can’t quite pay up for much, this is my favorite punt today.
OF – Harrison Bader – St. Louis Cardinals – $2,300
Back-to-back great nights for the Cards young outfielder should make it hard to keep Bader out of the lineup tonight. This guy has speed and can hit for power, and having gone five for his last 10 with two doubles and a home run, we have another great punt that will likely find my GPP lineups. He has been good in his little amount of playing time this season, amassing a .274 average with six home runs.
OF – Steven Souza – Arizona Diamondbacks – $2,000
Another punt, another guy freshly back from the DL. Souza has been quite the underachiever throughout his career, as he came into the league as a highly touted prospect at the age of 25 with the Nats, he was quickly shipped off to Tampa where he slowly got better over the course of three years. Ending up in the desert after a 30 home run season in Tampa last year, Souza has appeared in just 15 games this year and has done completely nothing. He should bat somewhere around fifth in the lineup again after Paul Goldschmidt, and if he can get ahold of one tonight, he will pay off huge. Some would even call it a bailout, and it might be the definition of one.
(Honorable Mention: Nick Williams – OF, Nick Ahmed – SS, Harrison Bader – OF)
That’s it for today. Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!