PGA/EURO DFS Breakdown – Quicken Loans National + Open de France
We’re back with yet another week of PGA/EURO DFS action, this time at TPC Potomac for the Quicken Loans National, and across the pond at the Open de France. There’s a pretty strong argument for the field in France being stronger than the one in the US this week, which is something we rarely see. Justin Thomas will be teeing it up alongside many European Ryder Cup locks and contenders, getting a preview of what the next Ryder Cup venue has in store. Meanwhile, Rickie, Tiger, and Francesco Molinari are favorites to win on a tough track that should challenge this weak field.
Because this field is so weak, I won’t be digging too far into golfers that are not normally at least on the periphery of my lineups. I’ll be looking to identify the best players in various pricing tiers, and hope the cream rises to the top. At the top, I like Rickie and Tiger, and am leaning toward Tiger because of the discount he offers. This is a perfect spot for him to snag a PGA Tour win, and he’s going with a new mallet putter this week, which may help him figure it out on the greens. He said today that the putter is helping him find his rhythm and feel, which is great news. Marc Leishman is a fade candidate for me up here, since he hasn’t been great on Par 4s recently. I like Molinari quite a bit. He’s trying to secure PGA Tour status for next year, and is missing out on Rolex Series points in doing so. He recently nearly put together back to back wins, and had a good showing at Shinnecock. I don’t mind Kyle Stanley up here, but I prefer him on Fanduel where he is a bit discounted, and there are cheap options I’m more confident in. JB Holmes missed a ton of short putts here last year, which clearly hurt his result, but he’s been finding his game recently, and was in contention last week. Beau Hossler has been very consistent so far in his rookie campaign, and I like him to keep that up this week. I don’t love this price, but in a weak field, I can see him contending once more – his DK price is more appealing than his FD price. Charles Howell III nearly won this event last year, and he could compete again. It’s tough for me to recommend someone who rarely posts great results at this price tag. I consider him a safe, but boring play. Jimmy Walker has been stellar recently, and although he missed the cut here last year, his game was in shambles due to Lyme Disease. I’ll be on him this week, moreso on DK where he is a more reasonable price. Kevin Na is too cheap on Fanduel, and I’ll be playing a lot of him there – hopefully he isn’t this week’s version of Ryan Moore from last week. Kiradech Aphibarnrat missed the cut in Memphis and responded with a great US Open – I’m back on board. Niemann is very boom/bust, and I like him to boom this week. An is too cheap on DK, and a great ball striker who should do well here. Patrick Rodgers has played well of late, and is too cheap on FD. I’m fading Billy Horschel. Hadley, after burning me last week, is back on my radar but I’m not buying all the way in, and will be cautious with my exposure to him. I’m back in on Gary Woodland, who has been great ball-striking but really struggled with his short game. That shouldn’t hurt him too much at this course. Jamie Lovemark is a core play for me on both sites. Streelman on FD is a steal, and will likely be very highly owned. Cink went very low on Sunday last week, but this price tag is a lot to pay for a guy who only found form in his last two events. Danny Lee is a GPP only play with a huge range of outcomes – play at your own risk. Andrew Putnam is a relative unknown, but don’t be surprised when he is chalk on DK this week – he’s been scoring very well on Par 4s and that should bode well for him this week. Brian Gay has put together a bunch of solid results and I like him as a value play this week on DK, moreso than Adam Hadwin. I don’t mind Hadwin, but he’s not been himself lately. Si Woo Kim is another guy who is normally hard to trust, but he’s been better lately, and I’ll be on him at a cheap DK price. Lingmerth has really played awfully all year but his history will have people buying in like they did at The Memorial. Hopping on here due to his T5 last year and his win in a Web.com Tour event back in 2012 might not be the worst idea, but I don’t love the DK price at all. FD you can punt a spot with him pretty easily. Tway is very boom bust. Everyone else to me carries a lot of risk this week, but JJ Spaun and Sung Kang are some names that stick out to me.
OPEN de FRANCE
Across the pond, I like all the favorites and can’t easily differentiate them. I lean toward Noren and RCB due to their discounts. I also like Sullivan, Westwood, Kaymer, Fisher, Dunne, Korhonen, Li, Pieters, Bjork, Kjeldsen, Lorenzo-Vera, Otaegui, and my favorite value play of the week is Ryan Fox.