MLB FanCave Full Look (Fanduel): 6/22/18
Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main 14-game slate on Fanduel. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite one-off bats, that I will be building my lineups around. First though, let’s take a look at the weather, as today looks like a doozie.
We have quite a few bad weather spots to keep an eye today to start the full look. It isn’t even noon yet, and I have eliminated three games from the slate due to weather concerns. With a huge slate to work with, if it looks like there is greater than a 40% risk of a cancellation, then it simply is not worth the risk. The games in question that I will be fading are as follows:
Phi @ Wash – It looks like it all depends on when the rain starts, but once it starts, it doesn’t look like it will stop until after midnight. This is one I will still watch however, as it just 50% chance of storms right now through game-time, with the worst of it holding off until later.
Det @ Clev – This one has looked like a full fade since last night, and the worst threat today. Thunderstorms through midnight have this game crossed off of the slate for me.
Balt @ Atl – Atlanta is always a tough place to predict, but at this moment, this is a fade for me. Similar to the others, around 40-50% chance of storms from 5 PM EDT – Midnight.
There are two other games with delay or PPD implications. Right now these two are in play for me, although no players will be featured here just to stay safe. Both of these games looked pretty grim earlier in the day, but now conditions are changing up a bit where these could play.
Ari @ Pitt – While this could play, as the chances of rain do not quite reach 50% at any point of the day today, I am going to have to fade it as well. Patrick Corbin would be a great play, if we get some solid confirmation before lock that this looks like it will play. I would also have interest in some Diamondbacks bats as well against Pirates starter Ivan Nova.
Cubs @ Cin – This one is looking like a late start scenario, as long as the rain stops when it is supposed to. Forecasts are showing the rain starting to taper off around game time. If you are a GPP player looking for a risky angle that could pay off for you this could be it. Humidity will follow the rain here, which should be cause for some extra carry on well hit balls. Hitting conditions could be stellar for guys in good spots, such as Kyle Schwarber for the Cubs and Eugenio Suarez for the Reds.
Having a good weather app that allows you to center right in on the stadium is a good help. With games like these where a threat is possible, it is best to wait to hold off on finalizing your lineups as long as you can.
Steven Wright – Boston Red Sox – $7,000
With an overall below average pitching selection, and no studs over $10K, I am turning to the crafty knuckleballer tonight for my cash games. Wright has been brilliant in his last three starts, including his last start which was against tonight’s opponent Seattle. In that game, Wright threw seven innings, en route to his third straight quality start since joining the rotation. He sports a dynamic 1.23 ERA up to this point in the season, and has allowed just one earned run in this three game run. With no pitchers to pay up for tonight, and a dream match-up at Coors, I’ll roll with Wright, and lean on the win and the quality start.
Chris Stratton – San Francisco Giants – $7,200
Right as I was breaking down this game and checking out how Stratton has faired against the Padres as of late, @kingzito973 mentioned him in our FanCave staff chat. Stratton is usually a hit or miss pitcher. He won’t often get you over 40 FDP, but has shown that he can do it. He did face the Padres back in April, and was fantastic, allowing just one hit over seven innings. He is coming off a quality start against the Dodgers in Los Angeles, and I am hoping he could ride some momentum here tonight, against a team he has done well against in the past.
Colorado Rockies – (3B – Nolan Arenado $5,100, SS – Trevor Story $4,400, 1B – Ian Desmond $4,100, C – Chris Iannetta $3,000)
You would be damn near crazy not to stack Rockies right-handed bats in cash games tonight. Yes, there are a ton of good plays with all of this subpar pitching tonight, but we have a similar situation tonight as the other night, when Arenado, Story, and Desmond went back-to-back-to-back. Wei-Yin Chen will be on the hill tonight, and he gives it up to righties as much as Mets starter Jason Vargas, who was the victim of that HR barrage by the Rockies meat of the order on Tuesday. Also look to OF Noel Cuevas if you need further salary relief, or just want to mix it up.
Los Angeles Dodgers – (OF – Joc Pederson $2,400, 3B – Max Muncy $3,800, 1B – Cody Bellinger $3,600)
If we were in a situation today where there was a pitcher to pay up for, and maybe not another dream situation at Coors, I would be giving this Dodgers stack a ton of love today. They will face Mets starter Zack Wheeler, who has struggled to get lefties out, and has an ERA just south of 5.00. Muncy has been hitting home runs, and Bellinger has also been hitting well of late. Pederson offers some great value leading off, so these lefties are my second favorite stack today behind Rockies.
Top One-Off Bats:
Instead of throwing out some high priced one-off’s today, all of our picks here will be value plays under $3K. We will want to fit that Rockies stack, or even pay up for Astros righties or Angels, so here are some low priced players in good spots.
1B – CJ Cron – Tampa Bay Rays – $2,900
I am not a big fan of rostering anyone from Tampa usually, but when a power hitting lefty masher falls below $3K against a lefty, it is time to take note. Cron was and very well could still be in quite the slump. He homered in his last game Wednesday, and it was it first hit since Sunday June 10th. Cron is 3-for-11 with one home run in his career off of C.C. Sabathia, who will be on the bump for the Yankees tonight. I am calling a home run here, and I’ll even go with my staple 18.7 FDP call.
OF – Steve Pearce – Toronto Blue Jays – $2,300
Confirm that he is back in the lineup before locking him in, but Pearce is set to return from the DL today, and expected to lead off for the Jays. It won’t be an easy task for the Blue Jays today as they face up-and-coming lefty Andrew Heaney, but a few of these guys have been hitting well as of late, and Pearce could compliment them well at the top of the order. If you want a cheap stack here to go with him, Randal Grichuk has been hitting a bit, as well as Devon Travis, who is always cheap and in play against a lefty.
SS – Marwin Gonzalez – Houston Astros – $2,500
He has been pretty disappointing this season, but the Astros are facing Royals lefty Danny Duffy, and I want some exposure. Gonzalez recently had a nice six-game hitting streak snapped, in which he had three multi-hit games. The fact that he is hitting a bit, and has some decent BvP numbers against Duffy, makes him worth a look. It is a small sample size, but Gonzalez is 7-for-14 off him in his career.
OF – Gorkys Hernandez – San Francisco Giants – $2,700
From Gonzalez to Hernandez, we have another player hitting .500 off of their opposing pitcher, albeit another small sample size. Gorkys is 8-for-16 in his career off of Padres starter Clayton Richard. He should lead off as he normally does against lefties, and is another great source of salary relief to mash in the top Rockies… or Mike Trout.
That’s it for today. Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!