Tonight’s slate, unlike the last handful of slates, has absolutely zero stud pitchers toeing the rubber. Typically on slates like this, you just put your blindfold on and throw the dart, but the mid-tier pitching options are LOADED.
This makes constructing your lineup, in my opinion, so much more fun. You have far more flexibility with the bats and with a handful of great stacks and mid-tier pitchers, I expect variance to be rather high.
Another note that makes this slate interesting is that one of my favorite pitchers on the slate happens to be pitching in Coors Field, and the other has a last name of Bieber…GULP.
With that being said, let’s get to the locks!
3B | Nolan Arenado | FD – $5,000 / DK – $5,900
Lock (n): a person or thing that is certain to succeed; a certainty.
ex: “Nolan Arenado is the lock of the season today”
In all seriousness, there is absolutely zero reason to fade Arenado tonight. You’ll have to pay a pretty penny, but this isn’t an issue with no stud pitchers on the mound.
Since June 1st, Arenado has posted a 0.402 wOBA and a 0.284 ISO and an absurd 45.3% hard contact rating. Against lefties alone, those numbers balloon to a 0.592 wOBA, a 0.632 ISO and a 52.9% hard contact rating. Yeah, I’m serious.
If that’s not incentive enough, his opponent, Wei-Yin Chen, has posted a 5.42 SIERA, 1.77 HR/9 and a 0.386 wOBA to right handed batters this season. Combine that with his overall 47% fly-ball rate in COORS FIELD? Field day incoming.
2B | Brian Dozier | FD – $3,400 / DK – $3,600
Dozier has been slipping a bit this season, but whenever you get him at a relatively low price against a sub-par lefty, he deserves a ton of consideration.
He’s posted a 0.371 wOBA and a 0.245 ISO across his career against southpaws, and the fact that Mike Minor has struggled with the longball (1.64 HR/9 vs RHB this season) heightens his upside.
OF | Jason Heyward | FD – $2,600 / DK – $3,900
If we’ve learned one thing this season in MLB DFS, it’s that FanDuel is always 3-4 days behind when adjusting player prices and we have another prime example with Jason Heyward.
Since the calendar flipped to June, Heyward has posted a 0.371 wOBA, a 0.191 ISO and has only struck out at an 11.1% clip. This was the Heyward the Cubs envisioned when signing him.
He’s crept up to the 2-hole in the lineup, sandwiched between sluggers Kris Bryant and Javy Baez and gets to tee off in Great American Ballpark against a righty that struggles with the longball.
Luis Castillo has allowed 2.21 HR/9, a 0.379 wOBA and a 44.4% hard contact rating to left-handed batters this season and Heyward is only $2,600 on Fanduel. Lock and a half.
Other options (borderline locks): Trevor Story, Evan Gattis, Ozzie Albies, Anthony Rizzo, Kyle Schwarber, Michael Brantley, Ian Happ