MLB FanCave Full Look (Fanduel): 6/18/18

Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main 10-game slate on Fanduel. This will essentially look a lot like FanCave Favorites used to look like, with the idea that our Favorites will be condensed down to our absolute top plays of the slate. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite one-off bats, that I will be building my lineups around.

We have a couple of bad weather spots to keep an eye today before we get in to the full look. First is in Cleveland where thunderstorms chances are ranging between 60-70% for game time. It will definitely be tough for me to target pitchers in this game with these pending conditions, so take one of the top plays in Trevor Bauer off the board. The Indians are scheduled to host Dylan Covey and the White Sox, and are heavy favorites should they get this game in. Should the forecast swing in the way of it looking like they will play, I would be all in on both Bauer and Indians bats. At this moment however, this game is a full fade for me, as it does not look worth the risk.

Our other weather threat is looking less ominous, but there could be a delay at some point in the game. The Cubs will host the Dodgers at Wrigley Field this evening, and some light rain is expected, with a 30-40% chance of thunderstorms around game time. I think this game is in play for bats, but not for pitchers. Any time there is a significant possibility of a delay, I fade pitchers. If the delay lasts a bit too long, that pitcher will be done for the day, and it is not worth the risk.

Remember to keep an eye on those two games. Having a good weather app that allows you to center right in on the stadium is a good help. With games like these where a threat is possible, and there are some top plays on the slate in one of those games, it is best to wait to hold off on finalizing your lineups as long as you can.

Top Pitchers:

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Cash Games:

Gerrit Cole – Houston Astros – $11,000

At what I view as a slight discount, Cole should be your chalk in cash games today, and rightfully so. Cole is 8-1 on the season with a 2.40 ERA. In 14 starts he has 12 quality starts (which is huge on FanDuel), and he has struck out 130 in just 93.2 innings. Like it or not, the change of scenery and being on this Astros ball club has done wonders for Cole, and he is one of the best pitchers in baseball this year. Tonight he faces the Rays at home, against a lineup he should continue to cruise against. I personally will be 100% Cole tonight cash and GPP, but if you want to stack up some bats and would like a low price option, keep reading.

Tournaments (GPP): 

Tyler Anderson – Colorado Rockies – $6,200

It’s always a risk to play a pitcher at Coors Field, but today the Mets are coming in to town, and they haven’t been able to hit anywhere as of late. The chalk tonight will be on the cheap Mets bats at the top of the order, but if you want to go contrarian where most people won’t, consider Anderson at a very low price. He has had two great outings in a row, but both of those were on the road, so take them with a grain of salt. Jacob deGrom will be taking the hill for the Mets, so I really am not in favor Rockies bats either here. Other than maybe a one-off or two, this looks like a fade Coors day, on the bats side at least.

Top Stacks:

Rangers Angels Baseball

Los Angeles Angels – (OF – Mike Trout $5,500, OF – Justin Upton $3,600, 3B – Luis Valbuena $2,300, 2B – Jose Fernandez $2,100)

You have to fade Trout if you are running this whole stack with Cole you would think, but it is possible to make it work. Just over $2,600 per player will be left to spend on your four remaining roster spots, and that should not be a problem today.

Fernandez presents good value upside at just $2,100. This especially remains true should he bat fifth in the lineup again today. Zack Cozart is on the DL, so Fernandez should continue to start. It would actually be nice if hit sixth and Valbuena was moved up to the five hole, considering his career numbers off of tonight’s opponent Zack Greinke.

Speaking of Valbuena, both he and Upton have had some success off of Greinke. Valbuena is 11-for-26 with a home run for a .423 batting average, and Upton is 10-for-29 with two homers. These are pretty decent sample sizes, so there is some BvP merit here. Stack up Angels with confidence tonight.

New York Yankees – (OF – Aaron Hicks $3,300, OF – Giancarlo Stanton $4,200, 1B – Greg Bird $3,100, SS – Didi Gregorius $4,100)

The other top stack to consider for tournament play will be Yankees, who will face Nationals right-hander Erick Fedde in Washington. I would also certainly consider Aaron Judge if I was paying up any higher, but I really want to make sure I get the streaky Gregorius in my lineup. He is hot again with six hits in the weekend series with the Rays, with a home run and a triple.

Bird will offer some salary relief and is always a home run threat, and Hicks is likely to lead off with Brett Gardner dealing with a knee injury. Gardner could return though, so watch that situation.

Top One-Off Bats:

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Yankees

1B – Eric Thames – Milwaukee Brewers – $3,200

Likely to be pretty chalky in cash games after his two home run game yesterday against the Phillies, Thames is recently back from injury, and after a couple of games, just returned with a bang. Tonight he faces Pirates righty Trevor Williams, who has been pretty bad over his last four starts. I favor Thames quite a bit in this spot, and he is high on my radar.

OF – Cameron Maybin – Miami Marlins – $2,200

We need to find some low salary value today to fit the top stacks with Cole, so I am turning to Maybin again. Hitting just .226 on the year, playing mostly only against lefties makes it hard for a guy to get any rhythm, but Maybin has been hitting clean-up versus the southpaws as of late, and is still a threat to steal a base or two. Maybin is a punt play I am turning to for GPP play as long as he hits in the top four of the Marlins lineup.

OF – Alex Gordon – Kansas City Royals – $2,700

Gordon has been mostly awful at the plate this season, but I gave him a look today, due to the fact that he has some decent numbers off of his opponent tonight Bartolo Colon. It is a small sample size, but Gordon has taken Colon deep once in his career. He has recently been moved up to the top of the lineup in the two hole, and I think he needs to be up high in the lineup to get that extra at-bat today, to be worth a cheap flyer. Until I see some more value open up, I like Gordon.

 

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That’s it for today.  Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!

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