DFS Breakdowns MLB

MLB FanCave Full Look: A Comprehensive Analysis For Today’s Main Slate 6/13/18 (Fanduel)

Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main eight-game slate on Fanduel. This will essentially look a lot like FanCave Favorites used to look like, with the idea that our Favorites will be condensed down to our absolute top plays of the slate. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite one-off bats, that I will be building my lineups around.

Top Pitchers:

Cash Games:

Trevor Bauer – Cleveland Indians – $10,200

With three quality options here in my opinion for cash games tonight, I will opt for Bauer, who has been cruising of late. That is in no way a knock on Jose Berrios, who has also strung together multiple fantastic outings in his own right. Berrios went the distance against the White Sox, striking out 10 and totaling 61 FDP. He should also be safe for cash games, but at this point, I would lean Bauer, and here is why.

Bauer now faces the same White Sox as Berrios did last Thursday, and, he has rattled off double-digit strikeouts in four of his last five starts. To me, this is the best overall match-up on the board for a pitcher, making Bauer my cash pitcher. I should also mention he is averaging 53.4 FDP in those last five starts. If we get anywhere near there I will be thrilled.

So where is Gerrit Cole you may ask yourself? Just too expensive that’s all. He is uber safe to get you 40+ FDP, and definitely has the upside as well.  The Astros are facing the A’s who Cole has already put up two 50+ FDP games against this season. I have no issues in paying up for Cole in cash, but I’ll take the discount in Bauer for now, unless some serious value opens up before lock.

Tournaments: GPP

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Jose Berrios – Minnesota Twins – $9,800

Spending up for a SP in GPP’s always carries some risk. Usually we want to spend down when there is an option to, in order to load up on bats. Tonight, I don’t see options that I am very comfortable with, but I will give you some names in the honorable mentions. Maybe you want to spend up for the chalk Yankees? Or pay what is becoming ridiculous salaries for Indians? I am not going that route today, so let’s talk about Berrios.

Berrios has really looked fantastic since his slight hiccup what is now over a month ago. Since that dud against the Angels on May 10th, Berrios has four quality starts in five starts, averaging nearly nine strikeouts per game in that span. His match-up against the Tigers, who just lost Miguel Cabrera for the season, is almost is good as Bauer’s against Chicago. Berrios put up 55 FDP in his last start against the Tigers on May 21st, striking out nine over eight innings. I think he has a shot at going the distance, and he will be in my GPP lineup.

GPP Honorable Mentions: Luke Weaver, Nick Pivetta

 

Top Stacks:

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Cincinnati Reds – (OF – Scott Schebler $3,400, 1B – Joey Votto $4,300, 2B – Scooter Gennett $4,000, OF – Jesse Winker $2,900)

Yeah I am going to skip writing up the obvious Yankees and Indians, and give you a couple of GPP stacks that I expect to be fairly lower owned. This is a situation in which the Reds are in Kansas City for interleague play against the Royals, not too far from home. On the hill for K.C., will be the seasoned veteran Jason Hammel. Hammel has struggled to a 5.12 ERA, and has actually pitched better on the road than in K.C. this season. I love attacking him with these Reds lefties, who have been consistently putting up points as of late.

Miami Marlins – (2B – Starlin Castro $3,000, C/1B – JT Realmuto $3,700, 3B – Brian Anderson $3,500, OF – Cameron Maybin $2,100)

First of all, yes, I am serious. This is the first time I have considered the Marlins for anything but a one-off maybe once or twice this season. They are not a great offense by any means, but they are still a professional baseball team facing Andrew Suarez, on a slate that is lacking cheap value plays at this moment. Keep in mind this article will likely be published before lineups are announced, and we could have some value open up later.

A few things about this stack to note. Do not leave Realmuto out here, unless you are paying up for Joey Votto. Realmuto rips lefties, and could be the main source of production for this stack. Anderson has been hot, and will likely be low owned due to the stacked 3B position, and his elevated price tag. Looking at Maybin, he has recently been spotted hitting clean-up, despite hitting just .224 with 0 home runs on the season. A cheap punt to fill in the stack here. Nothing more.

Top One-Off Bats:

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OF – Rhys Hoskins – Philadelphia Phillies – $3,400

Hoskins just returned from the DL over the weekend and proceeded to hit a bomb his first game back. Tonight he faces Rockies lefty Tyler Anderson, making this a fairly good spot for Phillies right-handed bats. They seem to be picking it up a little with the return of Hoskins, so I can see a stack here with some cheap value. I just want to highlight Hoskins for sure. He is a cash game lock at this price against a lefty.

2B – Jedd Gyorko – St. Louis Cardinals – $2,700

Never a sexy pick, but always in play against a left-handed pitcher. The Cardinals will face Padres young lefty Eric Lauer at home as heavy favorites. Gyorko connected for his fifth home run on Monday, and he is my cheap pick to go yard today. Another good stack possibility as well here with St. Louis right handed bats. Marcell Ozuna has remained hot, and Harrison Bader could offer a cheap source of value in the OF at $2,500.

OF – Andrew McCutchen – San Francisco Giants – $3,300

The Giants are cooling off a bit, but this looks like another good spot for the veteran McCutchen. Cutch has been getting on base quite a bit this month. In fact, there has only been one start this month in which he hasn’t reached base. With a low projected game total here because of park factors, the Giants and Marlins are in play for me for GPP. Reason being is that those who live and die by those numbers like Vegas odds and projected runs will likely not even give this game a look, keeping ownership way down. Suarez and Caleb Smith are your starting pitchers, I favor the hitters here.

SS – Scott Kingery – Philadelphia Phillies – $2,400

Having slumped more most of May after hitting the big leagues with a bang, the rookie Kingery seems to be getting it back a bit. He connected with grand slam last night, so he will likely be popular at his low price tag. This is chalk I will eat though, as I think he is heating up, and we desperately need some value still.

FanCave_AVI2

 

That’s it for today.  Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!

 

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