DFS Breakdowns MLB

MLB FanCave Full Look: A Comprehensive Analysis For Today’s Main Slate 6/11/18 (Fanduel)

Welcome to today’s MLB FanCave Full Look, covering the main eight-game slate on Fanduel. This will essentially look a lot like FanCave Favorites used to look like, with the idea that our Favorites will be condensed down to our absolute top plays of the slate. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, followed by my top stacks, and my favorite one-off bats, that I will be building my lineups around.

Top Pitchers:

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Cash Games:

Tournaments: GPP

Sam Gaviglio – Toronto Blue Jays – $6,300

I suppose I shoud verify to start. 100% Sam Gaviglio for me tonight. I am in fact playing him in cash games, albeit a lighter than normal amount. I love this slate for GPP, because we can pay way down here for Gaviglio, and run whatever top stacks and one-offs we desire. Better give a shout-out to the one and only DFSClutchBoy for first bringing this up in our discord app with our patrons! Nice call here! Appreciate you making me dig in on him!

As much as we would like to keep this play a secret, this article doesn’t quite reach enough people to sway any ownership. If you are one of the handful of people reading this consider yourself lucky and lock in Gaviglio at $6,300.

Gaviglio joined the rotation from the bullpen on May 19th at home against the A’s, striking out six and producing 34 FDP in that outing. His innings have progressively increased each time out, and he threw a seven inning gem in his last start against the mighty Yankees. With an average of 31.5 FDP in those four starts, at this price, I am locking him in in all formats tonight.

The 28 year old will face the right-handed heavy Tampa Bay Rays, and is sporting a ground-ball rate of over 60%, with a 20% + strikeout rate versus right-handed bats. He has faced some tough lineups up to this point, including the Red Sox along with the Yankees, and has been great. He should breeze through this Rays lineup, over and over tonight in my opinion.

Top Stacks:

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Cleveland Indians – (SS – Francisco Lindor $4,400, 3B – Jose Ramirez $5,000, OF – Michael Brantley $4,300, 1B – Yonder Alonso $3,400)

The Indians head into Chicago for a weekday series, with a five game lead in the AL central standings. In the series opener, the White Sox will go with young right-hander Lucas Giolito, who has been getting destroyed by lefties pretty much all season.

Cleveland has by far the highest total run projection on the slate, (almost a full run) and figures to be the chalk, so this is no secret. If you are playing multiple lineups for GPP’s I’m not sure how you can fade here. At the very least, Lindor, JRam, and Brantley make up what could easily be the top producing 3-man stack on the slate.

San Francisco Giants – (C/1B – Buster Posey $2,900, OF – Andrew McCutchen $3,000, 3B – Evan Longoria $2,600, OF – Mac Williamson $2,600)

It is truly a rare occasion I ever consider stacking the Giants, but here we are today, looking at dollar for dollar one of the cheapest stacks that could produce a ton of points in a long time. San Francisco travels to Miami to face the Marlins, and easily the top pitcher to attack on the slate in Wei-Yin Chen. Chen has been awful against righties, and I would make sure to have at least a little exposure here.

I’ll start right away by saying the weak link of this stack is Longoria, and if the salary is available, I prefer Brandon Crawford for $500 more. Crawford has quietly been on fire all season long, working his batting average up to .338, among the best in the league. Longo on the other hand has gone back to struggling after a semi-hot stretch at the end of May, but could still get easily get the best of this match-up.

Posey just had a nine-game hitting streak snapped, so he should be in line to start a new one. McCutchen has also been hitting well, averaging 18.78 FDP over the last six games. These would be my two targets if I decided to not quite “stack” this team, but maybe just have a couple value plays.

Honorable Mention: Los Angeles Angels (Kinsler, Trout, Upton, Cozart)

Top One-Off Bats:

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3B – Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals – $3,700

It is good to see some veteran dynamite hitters break out of slumps as of late. We are actually going to talk about three guys who fit that mold here in our one-offs today. Carp has had a slow start to the 2018 campaign, but is showing signs of life, stringing together a six-game hitting streak. He hasn’t been a huge FDP producer, with only one game over 20 FDP in that span. His average FDP per game in that same span is 13.366. This makes him one of the safest cash plays at a loaded position, but don’t expect anything huge.

1B – Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks – $4,200

Goldschmidt is finally done destroying baseballs in Coors Field for the weekend, and the Diamondbacks return home to host the Pirates. Goldy actually received a price decrease due to not being at Coors anymore, and at $4,200, he figures to be one of the most popular plays on the slate in my opinion.

Goldschmidt put together what has to be the best series performance for a player at Coors Field in relation to FDP’s. 138.6 FDP in a 3-game series, with two 50-burgers is absolutely insane. I don’t care where he is playing, he is clearly comfortable at the plate finally, and I am locking him in.

2B – Ian Kinsler – Los Angeles Angels – $3,100

Lock button here. Kinsler is also on a tear after struggling a bit to start the season, having averaged 23.4 FDP over the last four games. Kinsler has gone yard three times in that span, and tonight the Angels face an overachieving lefty in Wade LeBlanc. Look for Kinsler to go yahtzee yet again tonight, as he also seems to finally be getting comfortable in his new digs.

OF – Randal Grichuk – Toronto Blue Jays – $2,500

Grichuk returned from injury on June 1st, and has been raking over the last week or so. It has been eight games since his return, and he has already hit three bombs. He put together a four-game hitting streak in the weekend series with Baltimore, going yard twice. He crushes lefties as well, and is a great source of value today.

 

 

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That’s it for today.  Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!

 

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