DFS Breakdowns MLB

Fanduel MLB FanCave Full Look: A Comprehensive Analysis For Today’s Slate 6/4/18

Welcome to the newest article from FanCave! The MLB FanCave Full Look will completely cover tonight’s main slate on Fanduel. This will essentially look a lot like FanCave Favorites used to look like, with the idea that our Favorites will be condensed down to our absolute top plays of the slate. This full look will target the slate as a whole. I will highlight my top pitchers, one for cash games and one for GPP, my top stacks, and my favorite one-off bats that I will be building my lineups around.

With no weather issues in sight for this tiny four-game slate, we can jump right in. This is mostly a GPP only type slate, as cash games will likely be chalky and will come down to one or two bats. I say play very little cash games if any, and if you do, head-to-head games are probably best.

Let’s get right to it!

Top Pitchers:

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Cash Games 

Clayton Richard – San Diego Padres – $7,200

It looks as though when it is all broken down tonight that Richard has the safest match-up against Atlanta at home. Zach Godley is the most expensive at $8,500, but he hasn’t been the same pitcher on the road as he has been at home. Nick Tropeano is also in what appears to be a great spot, but is likely overpriced at $8,000. He has been phenomenal as of late, and has a plus match-up at home against the Royals, but numbers show him due for regression. Use caution there. Julio Teheran will likely be the chalk, as he has put together back-to-back quality starts, but the guy on the other side is who to target.

Richard has been a great pitcher at home since the beginning of May. In three starts, he has quality starts in all three, racking up 23 K’s along the way. The Braves have also struggled to hit lefties over the last month or so, so Richard will be getting the nod for cash games for me today.

Tournaments

Domingo German – New York Yankees – $6,600

It’s always tough to consider a guy with a 5.45 ERA but this is why I will be using German tonight. Detroit comes in to Yankees stadium as huge underdogs, and will be facing Yankees ace Luis Severino in the first game of a double-header this afternoon. The Tigers aren’t very deep and are dealing with injury to star Miguel Cabrera. They will likely roll out a lineup full of no-names in that second game if coach Ron Gardenhire chooses to rest anybody.

German is a strikeout pitcher with decent K numbers over his last four starts. The issue is his control, as he walked ten batters in those starts. If he has it together today, he could put up great numbers against a tired, strikeout prone team like the Tigers. After it’s all said and done, it is very possible that at $6,600, German could decide some GPP’s tonight.

Top Stacks:

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Los Angeles Angels – (2B – Ian Kinsler $2,800, SS – Andrelton Simmons $3,600, 3B – Zack Cozart $2,900, OF – Mike Trout $5,500, OF – Justin Upton $3,500)

Yes I know, we can’t play five hitters from the same team in one lineup, but all of these guys are viable for your stack tonight against Danny Duffy. Duffy has finally been decent over the last couple starts, but I think he gets backed to getting rocked here tonight. Trout is 5-for-12 with a homer in his career off of him, and Upton is 6-for-17, with two home runs.

My favorite piece of BvP in this stack however is Kinsler, who has an acceptable sample size of 41 plate apperances, which gives much more credence to BvP in general. He is just 8-for-35, but has taken five walks, hit two home runs, and scored seven runs. For me at just $2,800 and likely leading off versus a lefty, Kinsler is a lock button.

New York Yankees – (C/1B – Gary Sanchez $3,600, OF – Aaron Judge $5,200, OF – Brett Gardner $3,300)

Let’s start this stack with what we know here. The Yankees will be on the second game of a double-header, so we cannot complete our stack until we see the lineup, but a couple things look certain. Gardner and Sanchez are not in the lineup for game one of the double dip, so I fully expect them to play game two. New York is absolutely crushing right handed pitching as of late, so I will likely have lineups will full four man stacks. If either Aaron Hicks or Clint Frazier start game two, they likely complete my stack. They are both in the starting lineup for game one.

Top One-Off Bats:

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C/1B – Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks – $4,200

On a four game slate, with this salary increase and a fairly loaded C/1B position, Goldschmidt may be off the radar for the most part. He is finally heating up, having hit two home runs in the last four games, but went 0-for-4 yesterday. This could make him a candidate for some criminal ownership. The D-Backs will face lefty Derek Holland, who was great in his last start against this team. They were simply not hitting well though, and a couple of these bats have come to life. Which brings us to some value from the same team.

C/1B – John Ryan Murphy – Arizona Diamondbacks – $2,600

Murphy is quietly on fire and crushes lefties. He is also coming off of an 0-for-4, but had been ridiculous in his previous six starts. On fire actually isn’t a strong enough term, as he averaged 23.03 FDP per game in that span, with five home runs. For this cheap, I will keep riding this streak until we are certain it is over. He is my lock to go deep today and stay hot.

SS – Brandon Crawford – San Francisco Giants – $3,300

Truthfully, the Giants could make for a sneaky stack. In fact, if you are avoiding Angels, Crawford could be paired with Joe Panik if you want to stay away from Kinsler chalk. Since May 7th, there have only been four games in which Crawford did not record a hit. He also has had 11 multi-hit games in that span. His average sits a very respectable .314, and he should hit fourth in the lineup against the right hander Godley. Another hot bat in a great match-up at home, who should be a staple in cash games.

OF – Travis Jankowski – San Diego Padres – $2,700

We are going to need some value to roster studs like Judge and Trout. Jankowski has faced tonight’s opponent Teheran just four times, but is 2-for-4 with two stolen bases. I will play him tonight for the stolen base upside alone. If he gets one stolen base he hits value, and he is clearly getting on base, hitting .302 on the season. He has been penciled in at the lead off spot since his return, and he is yet another player I expect to bounce back from yesterday’s goose egg 0-for-4 performance.

 

That’s it for today.  Good luck in your contests! Give me a follow https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS and let me know if I sucked or won you some money!

 

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