Welcome to the DRAFT Dissection, which will feature rankings and strategy for today’s slate. Following the rankings will be a quick rundown of how I see today’s drafts shaping up. Included there will be my general strategy of how I will be drafting. We will essentially dissect the slate, and figure how we want our teams to look.
Well despite the lack of pitching today, this is shaping up to be one of my favorite slates on DRAFT thus far this year, so I hope to get this out early enough for you to enjoy. We have nine games on this slate and no real stud pitchers in action. In fact, it’s so bad it is one of my wait until the end days. I love when this happens because it allows us to have a clear cut strategy.
The only slight weather concern to keep an eye on is in Atlanta where the Cubs will face the Braves. Thunderstorms should roll through, but it may clear up in time for a late start. The Braves are one of my favorite teams to stack today, so I will certainly be watching it closely.
My rankings are pretty easy to follow. I have ranked the top 30 overall. We will go six deep at pitcher, and twelve deep at IF and OF. The main reason for this is that I play mostly six-man drafts, and do my personal rankings this way. Rankings will be broken down into positions, and following each players name will be their overall ranking in parenthesis.
1. Vince Velasquez – Philadelphia Phillies – (16)
2. Tyler Skaggs – Los Angeles Angles – (17)
3. Cole Hamels – Texas Rangers – (18)
4. Marco Gonzalas – Seattle Mariners – (28)
5. Jeff Samardzija – San Francisco Giants – (29)
6. David Price – Boston Red Sox – (30)
Yeah it is pretty ugly when my highest projected pitcher is in the middle of the pack according to DRAFT’s projections, but advantage me in this case. It doesn’t always fall this way, as there are of course some sharps out there, but getting Velasquez with my last pick is the perfect scenario today. I have done a bunch of six-man drafts today, and I have gotten him about 30% of the time. On the flip side, I have seen him go as high as first overall. (which is insane, by the way)
If you want to guarantee a top three guy, I would draft according to my rankings, putting them three in the third or fourth round. My strategy is to pass on them though, as the guy you want could be there at the end of the draft as well.
1. JD Martinez – Boston Red Sox – (1)
2. Manny Machado – Baltimore Orioles – (4)
3. Ozzie Albies – Atlanta Braves – (6)
4. Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves – (9)
5. Mitch Moreland – Boston Red Sox – (10)
6. Hanley Ramirez – Boston Red Sox – (11)
7. Josh Donaldson – Toronto Blue Jays – (13)
8. Justin Smoak – Toronto Blue Jays – (15)
9. Kris Bryant – Chicago Cubs – (19)
10. Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox – (20)
11. Matt Olson – Oakland Athletics – (21)
12. Brandon Belt – San Francisco Giants – (22)
Love them Red Sox and Braves again, but seriously, what is not to love? Albies and Acuna are on fire and heating up, respectively, and Betts and Martinez are on an absolute tear. Machado is my lock to homer today vs. Price and my favorite one-off of the day. My theme for today has been “think Sox” in the mid-rounds, and take your pick between Moreland, Ramirez and Bogaerts.
1. Mookie Betts – Boston Red Sox – (2)
2. Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels – (3)
3. Andrew Benintendi – Boston Red Sox – (5)
4. Joey Gallo – Texas Rangers – (7)
5. Tommy Pham – St. Louis Cardinals – (8)
6. Ronald Acuna – Atlanta Braves – (12)
7. Curtis Granderson – Toronto Blue Jays – (14)
8. Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies – (23)
9. Mitch Haniger – Seattle Mariners – (24)
10. Nicholas Castellanos – Detroit Tigers – (25)
11. Odubel Herrera – Philadelphia Phillies – (26)
12. Rhys Hoskins – Philadelphia Phillies – (27)
If there is one thing I will point out about my outfield rankings today it will be this. I have Pham ranked 5th and Acuna 6th. 10-out-of-10 times I will draft Acuna over Pham, but because of their projections, Pham is simply listed ahead of him. Pham is always dangerous, but give me Acuna later in the draft, as he is going unnoticed with his low 8.1 projection.
We will always start with pitching here when it comes to strategy. For me, pitching shapes how I want to attack my drafts. It should be clear that I am likely waiting until the fifth and final round to draft my pitcher today.
For about my first ten or so drafts today, I repeatedly got the fifth or sixth pick, and have a ton of Manny Machado, (who is my lock for a bomb today against Price) and Andrew Benintendi for my first two picks. Ronald Acuna is the perfect fourth round pick today, going unnoticed and facing lefty Jon Lester. I like grabbing Albies in the second round, and Acuna in the 4th for that mini-stack.
I am seeing a lot of people on the Blue Jays and stacking them up. It is an easy one to grab and could benefit you well. My favorite to stack is the Red Sox though again, along with everyone else I am sure. If I draft early enough to get Martinez or Betts I am all over it of course, but that hasn’t been the case for me today. Again, think about HanRam, Moreland, and Bogaerts in the mid-rounds as well, and pair up one or two of them with Benintendi, as I feel the Sox will stay hot tonight.
You should be all set for DRAFT. Go set your pre-draft rankings and dig in. Good luck in all your MLB DFS contests today! If you have any questions I can be found on Twitter at https://twitter.com/JuanBondDFS.