Happy Monday everyone and I hope you all enjoyed your weekend and your Cinco de Mayo!
On today’s main slate, we have a rather quiet 7-game a slate and frankly, one that seems rather straightforward, meaning that it will likely be a chalky slate.In this plays of the day article, I will briefly highlight my top pitcher, my core stack and my favorite one-off bats that I will be building my lineups around.
Let’s get to it!
Pitcher: Stephen Strasburg | $10,000
When I said this slate was rather straightforward, this is what I meant. In my opinion, and likely the opinion of many, Strasburg is by far and away the best option on the slate.
He’s been stellar to open the 2018 campaign, posting a 28.6% strikeout rate, a 3.12 SIERA, 3.02 xFIP and a 12.2% swinging strike rate and he couldn’t come into a better spot today as he heads to San Diego to take on the Padres.
The Padres have long been a team to pick on in MLB DFS and not much has changed this season. Against right-handed pitching this season, they rank 27th in wOBA (0.290), 27th in ISO (0.125) and have the highest K-rate in the league (28.0%).
If he isn’t 80%+ owned in cash games tomorrow I’ll be surprised, and if you read this article and he’s not in your lineups, I’ll be disappointed.
Core Stack: New York Mets
This slate was nice enough to give us a handful of gas cans to pick on when choosing what teams to stack, but no other gas can gets me as excited as Homer Bailey when I see him on the slate.
I know how cold the Mets have been and I know they are getting ravaged by injuries, but if there’s any such thing as a get-right spot, it’s against a pitcher named Homer.
He’s been um, bad, to say the least. He’s struggling to miss bats, as shown by his 13.1% K-rate and has also given up the highest hard-contact percentage of his entire career (42.1%). He’s also struggled mightily versus lefties, giving up a 0.345 wOBA compared to a 0.313 wOBA vs righties.
The core of my Mets stack will be centered around Jay Bruce and Yoenis Cespedes, but I love Todd Frazier to add another power bat. Below are their stat lines this season vs RHP:
- Jay Bruce: 0.323 wOBA // 0.154 ISO
- Yoenis Cespedes (if active): 0.346 wOBA // 0.226 ISO
- Todd Frazier: 0.386 wOBA // 0.195 ISO
BONUS: I absolutely love adding Adrian Gonzalez to this stack as well. He’s a career 11-25 (0.440) against Homer Bailey with SIX home runs. Lock him in as my value play of the day!
Top One-Off Bats:
Brandon Crawford | $2,800 – Crawford has posted double-digit FDP in three straight games (multiple hits in 4 straight games) and is a career 4-8 off of Eflin with 2 home runs.
Odubel Herrera | $3,100 – Herrera has reached base safely in 35 straight games and faces a gas-can in Jeff Samardzija. Matter of fact, I’ve seen rumblings that Shark makes for a decent play tonight, so you could even get Herrera at some #CriminalOwnership.
Nicholas Castellanos | $3,800 – Matt Moore is surrendering a 0.405 wOBA and only striking out 11.6% of RHB he faces, lock and load.
Bryce Harper | $5,400 – Lifetime 3-5 off of Tyson Ross with a home run and 3 walks while only striking out once.