What’s up everyone?! It feels great to find some time to carve out an article for MLB DFS, as I’ve been struggling to even find time to play lately.
With the NBA playoffs beginning to take a backseat to MLB in the DFS world, we turn our attention to a rather quiet 8-game Monday night slate in baseball.
We have no Kershaw or Scherzer tonight but still have some top-tier pitchers in Gerrit Cole and Carlos Carrasco, meaning it could be a little easier to fit some of the higher-end stacks in your lineups.
Below are my favorite plays for the MLB DFS main slate on FanDuel.
Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco | $9,600
While Gerrit Cole has been spectacular this season, I personally don’t have an interest in attacking Mike Trout, Justin Upton, and yes, Shohei Otahni, in cash games, so I love the savings that Carrasco provides.
Carrasco has been stellar this season, posting a 16.7% K/BB ratio, a 3.64 SIERA and only allowing a 20.8% hard-contact rating. He’s also fresh off of 7 shutout innings against the Twins in which he racked up 7 strikeouts and threw 70 of 98 pitches for strikes, contributing to his ridiculous K/BB ratio.
On the flip side of this matchup, the Orioles play this season is all the more reason to fire up Carrasco as they rank:
- 28th in wOBA vs RHP (0.268)
- 25th in ISO vs RHP (0.130)
- 3rd in K-Rate vs RHP (26.7%)
On top of those lowly numbers, the current Orioles roster is batting a lifetime 0.186 vs Carrasco with a 0.208 wOBA. Fire him up in all formats as my top pitcher on the board.
Stack: Seattle Mariners vs Miguel Gonzalez
The Mariners are always a rather low-key stack, but that could change in the spot they find themselves tonight.
In his first three starts of the season, Miguel Gonzalez has compiled an 0-3 record with more walks than strikeouts. Yes, you read that right. He has walked more batters than he has struck out this season.
He’s also giving up hard contact at a 34.5% clip while allowing 2.92 HR/9, all the makings for another blowup spot.
I am targeting the lefties in the lineup as my core for the stack (Cano, Seager, Gordon) and if you want to expand it more, Nelson Cruz is a great piece as well:
- Cano: 0.370 wOBA vs RHP
- Seager: 0.255 ISO vs RHP
- Gordon: 0.334 wOBA vs RHP
- Cruz: 0.339 wOBA, 0.310 ISO vs RHP
In addition to those four, I also don’t mind mixing in Jean Segura or Mitch Haniger, as this stack comes in at a very reasonable price.
BvP Play of the Day: Adrian Beltre | $3,400
Beltre is a career 0.367 hitter in 30 ABs vs Trevor Cahill, boasting a 0.458 wOBA with 2 home runs, 5 RBIs and 7 runs scored.
Top One-Off Bats:
Charlie Blackmon | $5,200: Blackmon is posting a ridiculous 0.475 wOBA and 0.462 ISO versus right-handed pitchers at home this season and takes on a gas-can in Bryan Mitchell tonight.
George Springer | $4,700: He’s posted double-digit FDP in 6 of his last 7 games and comes in with a 0.459 wOBA and a 0.462 ISO vs left-handed pitching this season and gets to face off with LHP Tyler Skaggs who last start, got absolutely lit up by the Red Sox.
Khris Davis | $4,100: Davis is red hot and also crushes left-handed pitching to the tune of a 0.303 wOBA and 0.174 ISO with a 35.7% hard-contact rate this season.