EPL DFS Slate Notes (+CHEAT SHEET) – 4/14/2018
It seems like the EPL has taken a backseat over the past few weeks (especially in the DFS world) with the UCL knockout stage, NBA playoff races, and the beginning of the MLB season. However, since the EPL slates lock early on Saturday and Sunday mornings, you all should have plenty of time to play! This slate features 6 games, the biggest of which will be Manchester City at Tottenham at 2:45ET. The other 5 games will still have some importance in the still-close relegation battle. Here’s my breakdown of the slate by team.
My cheat sheet actually includes 3 Burnley players this week. The best play out of the 3 is going to be goalkeeper Nick Pope ($5,500). A matchup at home against Leicester should prove fruitful for Pope. Vardy and Mahrez should be able to help Leicester put some shots on goal, giving saves points to Pope. Plus, Burnley’s defense has been great this year, giving him a nice shot at the clean sheet as well. James Tarkowski ($6,000) is a nice cash play if you have the money at defender, but he is by no means necessary. Ashley Westwood ($5,000) is expected to start in Burnley’s midfield. He turned in a nice 25.5 FDP game last time out, and can be used for salary relief in a GPP this week.
For the most part, I am not focusing on Leicester this week. Their two most attractive players on any given week, Vardy and Mahrez, are both off my radar due to a difficult matchup with Burnley on the road. For the same reason, I am also avoiding Leicester midfielders. The bright spot for Leicester this week in the fantasy game is going to be Wes Morgan ($5,000), their captain defender. Morgan draws a good matchup as a center fullback against Burnley. For only $5,000, he is a good play in all formats.
In my opinion, some good value can be found on Palace this week. Forward Alexander Sorloth ($7,000) has been battling a leg injury, but returned to training this week and could break back into the starting lineup. As we approach lock, that will be important to monitor. If Sorloth goes, he has a prime matchup with Brighton at home. Christian Benteke ($7,500) is also worth mentioning. Since Benteke is also battling an injury, there is a possibility that both Sorloth and Benteke are not fit to play. In that case, Wilfried Zaha ($8,500) and Andros Townsend ($7,000) will be the main attackers. Both of them would see a huge bump up in my opinion. Aaron Wan-Bissaka ($6,500) and James Tomkins ($6,000) are also both viable in this game. Wan-Bissaka burst into CP’s starting lineup recently, and has been really impressive since. He’s a little pricey this week, but he has a good matchup with good upside. Wayne Hennessey ($4,500) is a solid GK punt play this week because I do not trust BHA to score on the road.
Brighton and Hove Albion
Finally, a team half-worth writing about….kind of. Will Hughes ($8,000) is my only recommended play for Watford. Hughes is in form right now, averaging 26.9 FDP in his last 2 games. Plus, he draws a plus matchup against Huddersfield. That’s about it from Watford. It’s not that the rest of the players are bad plays, but there are better options available.
Lukasz Fabianski ($5,000) is the only Swansea City player I will be recommending this weekend. He’s had to make a ton of saves this season because the defense in front of him allows attackers to get their way. Everton have a respectable attack so they should be able to force Fabianski to make saves. Although Swansea City have given up a lot of chances this season, they don’t give up a ton of goals.
There will be a decent number of people playing Everton attackers this week I think. However, I would rather go elsewhere than pay for guys like Tosun, Rooney, or Gueye.
If there’s any teams to stack this week, Liverpool would be one of them. After an exhilarating Champions League win over Manchester City that sent them to the semifinals since 2009-2010, Liverpool will take on Bournemouth at home. Bournemouth have given up an average of 1.6 goals per game in the EPL this season, and I expect Liverpool to score more than that. With more UCL games coming, Roberto Firmino ($12,000) and Mo Salah ($12,500) are prime candidates to get rested. In that case, Sadio Mane ($10,500) gets a huge jump up as he becomes a big part of the attack. Also, whichever bench player (Solanke maybe) gets the start for Firmino at forward would provide some big value. If Firmino and Salah play, fire them up. Depending on their formation, some decent value could be found in their midfield as well. On defense, Andrew Robertson ($7,000) is my favorite play. However, Trent Alexander-Arnold ($5,500) is much cheaper and has similar upside in this game.
Callum Wilson ($6,500) would be a solid punt here if you’re looking to save money. After a productive January, Wilson has not done a whole lot since. However, this price for a starting forward is usually not seen. Liverpool haven’t shown the best defense this year, so Wilson could provide nice value.
Things have not been going well for Manchester City lately. They got bounced from the Champions League with a 5-1 aggregate defeat to Liverpool. They blew a 2-0 halftime lead and lost 3-2 to rival Manchester United with a chance to secure the EPL title on the line. City will try to bounce back on Saturday against Tottenham. This will not be an easy task given they are playing on the road and only have one win versus Tottenham in their last five tries. From a fantasy perspective, I expect a good deal of people to play Gabriel Jesus ($9,500) who will start another game with Sergio Aguero still sidelined. I am fading Jesus on the road in a tough game against a good defense. In general, I am fading most of City’s players due to their poor form, high price, and high ownership. However, Kevin de Bruyne ($9,000) is extremely hard to pass up for that price. He’s been a top 3 EPL player all season, but his recent struggles resulted in this price drop. You might never get another chance to play him for $9,000. He is a lock in cash games, and still a really good GPP play.
Harry Kane made his first start returning from injury last weekend against Stoke and scored while accumulating 23.75 FDP. Kane was also able to play the full 90 minutes which is a great sign for his fitness. Tottenham have not played since, so Kane has had plenty of time to recover. Kane struggled in his last game against City only getting 9.25 FDP. However, that game was at Etihad Stadium and was dominated by City. I am expecting a different match this time around. This matchup has developed into a fierce rivalry recently, and I expect Kane to be at his best, making him my favorite play in this game. Christian Eriksen ($10,000) would be nice to pair with Kane if you want to stack Tottenham. Dele Alli ($8,500) for that price seems like great value as well. I am also interested in Tottenham defender Davinson Sanchez ($5,500) this week. Sanchez has become a steady central defender for Tottenham this season, and his week-to-week fantasy output is steady as well. He’s a good cash play with a matchup against Manchester City, however his upside remains limited. He could be nice to pair with an attacking defender.
That’s all for the team notes right now, but here is my cheat sheet for the slate: