NBA Slate Breakdown – 3/31
Tonight’s slate is a very interesting one, at least for me, as we have a couple teams that are in clear advantages against each of their opponents, as well as a matchup between the top two teams in the East, which has it’s own obstacles, too.
My assessments of this slate would point directly to buying high on those teams (MIA/GSW), despite the fact that they both possess game-point spreads of 7.5 points and 8.5 points, respectively. While this may be risky, it’s a lot easier to trust the players in these contests, due to the much lower defensive pressure they will face, than that of Toronto versus Boston.
I think that’s a fair way of looking at tonight, because although the meeting between the Raptors and Celtics only has a 4 point spread, there’s not many players that look especially promising, but there’s plenty that appear to be safe rosters.
Let’s take a look at some of the safer studs:
Kyle Lowry ( $8,300 / $8,400 )
Between Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, it’s clear that Lowry has been the much safer roster in their last 4 games, as DeRozan has failed to reach 35 FanDuel points once, while the former has hit 39+ FanDuel points in 3 outings.
While it’s not always smart to go off recent play, it is a telling sign and DeRozan has deferred lately, owning just a 26.7% usage in that span, as compared to his season usage percentage being that of 29.3% over 74 games played.
Kevin Durant ( $10,900 / $10,900 )
After being ejected in his first game back since missing his previous 6 matches, Kevin Durant will be a hesitant play in the eyes of many, but don’t fool yourself with that, he’s the best option on this slate and is reasonably priced.
Sacramento has been a targetable team all season, as they allow opponents to shoot an average of 47.3% from the field (27th) and 38.5% from deep (30th), on top of holding the 29th ranked defense with a 109.7 defensive rating.
Hassan Whiteside ( $7,500 / $7,600 )
This should be of no surprise and I’m sure it’s not, seeing as the Brooklyn Nets have been the worst team against centers over the entirety of the season, according to DvP and allow an average of 47.1 points in the paint (25th).
An issue may arise in Whiteside’s minutes, as he’s currently working his way back from a hip injury that forced him to miss a total of 9 outings, until he made his way back versus Chicago, where he played 19 minutes of action.