Since this is kind of a down week for PGA DFS, with the WGC match play already started, and a very weak field event down in Puntacana, I’ll keep it rather short this week. Doing a deep dive into all these guys is tough because most of them are considered mid-low level PGA Tour players. That said, we still might be able to find some solid plays. Let’s get into it.
High $: Grillo Piercy Sabbatini Rodgers
Grillo is the class of the field and is likely to win here. I believe he’s trying to play his way into the Masters, so he should have no problem finding motivation to get it done in a weak field. The only trouble here is the price. You’ll be playing a whole bunch of 7k guys you may feel uncomfortable about if you play Grillo. Piercy has always been a great ball striker, but he struggles on and around the green. In a field like this, he’s still way ahead of the pack overall, so he should be in contention. Sabbatini is a guy you’d never play on a normal week, but this isn’t a normal week. He’s flashed form recently and is 2nd in the field T2G over his last 5 tournaments. Probably not a cash play, but I think he has a chance to win here. Patrick Rodgers has popped up on leaderboards a few times over the last year, but I really like him this week. His putting is a huge plus for him, and he’s been solid T2G as well. He’ll likely be high owned, but I feel it’s for good reason.
Mid-High $: Zanotti Mullinax Kraft Garrigus Goosen
Zanotti is a guy I play quite a bit in EURO DFS, but he’s over here this week. After a few good Euro showings, I like him here. Two other names in this range are Paul Dunne and Chris Wood, who I just haven’t seen much from lately. Mullinax is another of my favorite plays along with Rodgers – he leads the field T2G over his last 5, and comes in right behind Sabbatini in SG versus the field. Kelly Kraft is another guy I like a lot this week. He comes in off finishing T8 at Honda and T31 at Valspar, two very tough tracks with much stronger fields. Along with Rodgers and Mullinax, I think Kraft is a strong candidate to win. Garrigus and Goosen are two guys I’m not very high on here, but I will have some shares in tournaments due to Garrigus’s strong recent iron play and Goosen’s fit for this type of course.
Mid-Low $: Tway Ancer Varner Ryder Flores
I like all three of these guys a lot in all formats. Starting with Tway, he’s a bomber who finished 11th on this course in the past and despite not playing well much this year, made the cut last week and made cuts during the fall swing. Even with his struggles, he’s 23rd T2G in his last 5 in this field. Basically, he hasn’t been great, but he’s been better than the other guys playing this week, which is what we want to see. I like Ancer a bit more than Tway, since Ancer has been more solid overall this season. I think he’ll feel comfortable in this Caribbean environment due to his Mexican nationality, and it doesn’t hurt he’s 20th in the field T2G over his last 5. Varner has been making cuts even in much stronger fields, and now he comes here. Though his stats don’t pop much, ranking 31st T2G in his last 5, he’s $7800 and I feel he’s very safe this week. Sam Ryder interests me because he’s finished 12th and 2nd here in the past, so he can do well at this track, and he’s been statistically solid recently, ranking 14th T2G in his last 5. His putter has really let him down, but if it improves this week, he should do well. Martin Flores in a tournament like this is always a tournament option.
Low $: Schenk Lashley Garnett Oppenheim Dahmen Lovelady Campos
Schenk is my favorite of the value options this week, as he comes in 19th T2G over his last 5, has made 3 straight cuts at tough tracks, and has two solid finishes here in the past. Lashley has won here in the past which is always nice for the mindset coming back, but I think he’s more of a tournament play given his poor recent form. Brice Garnett comes in right behind Schenk statistically, and has some decent results this year. While I like Schenk more, Garnett is fine at his price. I’ll lump together Oppenheim, Dahmen, and Lovelady – all have been great T2G recently compared to this field, but they’ve struggled so much with the putter that the results aren’t there. Consider them all tournament plays. Rafael Campos rarely plays many events each year, but he generally starts at the Puerto Rico Open and plays the Texas swing. He also tends to do well in these events, despite being a relatively no-name guy. He’s a borderline cash play for me given his price, but I feel more comfortable reserving him for tournaments.
That’s all for this week! Also, with Masters pricing out, I’ve started getting ready for that as well. Feel free to ask any strategy questions about the Masters and I’ll give you my thoughts!