Good morning FanCavers and happy Selection Sunday!
Not only do we have one of the best days in college basketball upon us, but we also have two equally split NBA DFS slates on Fanduel (both 4 games).
The early slate carries much more uncertainty, as there are a large number of important players with injury tags. As it stands, the list of impactful players with an injury designation are as follows:
- Steph Curry (OUT)
- Dennis Schroder (Q)
- De’Aaron Fox (Q)
- Jimmy Butler (OUT)
- Wilson Chandler (P)
- Andre Iguodala (Q)
- Anthony Davis (GTD)
- Skal Labissiere (O)
- Willie Cauley-Stein (Q)
I’m going to avoid the Anthony Davis dilemma when writing this article because that news can completely alter construction (although I wouldn’t look his way today anyways).
Here are the four players I intend to build my lineups around this Sunday afternoon:
Jeff Teague ($7,400)
With Jimmy Butler off of the floor this season, no player sees a larger usage increase than Jeff Teague. Not Andrew Wiggins, not Karl-Anthony Towns, Jeff Teague. He sees a 5.3% increase in his usage and rises to 26.8% overall.
Without Steph Curry, we could hypothetically see Teague match up with Quinn Cook, who ranks 57th among point guards with a DRPM of -0.55. Cook struggled to contain Damian Lillard on Friday night, even though he shot only 8-21, still posting 28 points and 8 assists.
Now, Teague is no Damian Lillard, but for $7,400, there’s no reason Teague can’t smash value here after posting 37.1 FDP in their last meeting.
Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5,800)
I like this play with or without De’Aaron Fox, but if he SITS, we can expect Bogdanovic to slide over to the point guard spot like he did last game.
In that game, he shot a putrid 3-12 for 8 points but also contributed 10 assists in his 27 minutes. If he slides to PG again, he gets a tasty matchup with Jamal Murray, the 91st ranked PG with a DRPM of -2.27.
If he stays at the 2, his matchup is a bit more difficult with Gary Harris, but with Skal Labissiere out he should be able to build on his average of 11.2 FGA over his last 5 games.
Kevin Durant ($10,600)
With Steph Curry out, Kevin Durant is the sole reason that I have zero interest in AD today (even with his birthday narrative).
When Curry sits, Durant sees the highest usage bump on the team at 4.9%, increasing his already spiked usage to an insane 35.9%.
He’ll be matched up with Nemanja Bjelica and Andrew Wiggins this afternoon. Bjelica is nothing special on defense and Wiggins is the epitome of putrid, ranking 84th out of 90 SFs in DRPM at -1.46.
This is a no brainer play. Plug in the Slim Reaper and move on.
Lauri Markkanen ($6,300)
The power forward position is a bit tricky on this slate and with the NBA cracking down on the Bulls and resting players, there is some added risk here, but Markkanen clocks in with a beautiful matchup against the Hawks.
His production since the All-Star break has been disappointing, but he’s averaged 12.4 FGA over his last 5 games and has seen north of 30 minutes of 4 of those last 5.
In his two meetings with the Hawks this season, he’s posted 25.3 and 27.9 FDP, logging over 30 minutes in each. The reason for optimism here? No more Nikola Mirotic.
Expect Markkanen to have a solid showing against the weak Hawks front-court today.