NBA Plays of the Day 2/11: Opportunity is knocking for De’Aaron Fox
As Lebron James and Kyrie Irving square off in TD Gardens right now, we turn part of our NBA brains to tonight’s 4-game DFS slate.
The main news to stay on top of is the status of Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony, both of whom are currently game-time decisions.
Roster build on this slate somewhat hinges on their availability, especially Westbrook, so when writing this, I am assuming he sits like he did on Friday.
Let’s break it down:
*FanDuel and DraftKings prices are listed respectively
De’Aaron Fox ($5,400 / $5,900)
Dollar for dollar, Fox checks in as my favorite point guard option on the slate. With George Hill in Cleveland and Frank Mason sidelined, Fox was freed last game, posting 30.9 FDP and a 13/7/9 stat line in 33 minutes.
The Timberwolves are much better defensively at home than they are on the road, but still rank bottom half in the NBA against PGs, allowing 37.1 FDP per game on the season. Take advantage of his price while you can, because I promise you it won’t be this low again this season.
Mario Chalmers ($3,600 / $3,800)
This play is contingent on whether Andrew Harrison suits up or not, but with Wayne Selden sidelined, the potential for Chalmers at this salary is through the roof.
With both of these players (plus Conley) off the court, Chalmers sees a 19.4% usage rate and a 23.4% assist rate, phenomenal numbers for a near-minimum priced player.
Other options: Russell Westbrook (top option if active), Chris Paul, Jeff Teague, Raymond Felton (if Westbrook sits), Yogi Ferrell
James Harden ($11,800 / $11,400)
This is a top play by default, but Harden is always a safe play for under $12k. He’s been on a heater over the last three games, averaging 35 points, 7.3 assists, 5 rebounds and 1 steal per game.
The Mavericks have also been awful against SGs over their last 5 games, surrendering 50.4 FDP per game. If you’re looking for safety, Harden is a great option.
Donovan Mitchell ($7,500 / $6,800)
A strong play night in and night out, Mitchell could see a huge boost if Ricky Rubio is unable to go tonight. With Rubio off of the court, Mitchell sees the highest usage bump on the team (2.2%) and jumps up to 31% overall. He also sees his assist rate rise to 20.2%.
He finally shook off his illness last game for 25 points and 6 boards and now takes on the Blazers, who have allowed the 5th most FDP per game to opposing shooting guards. He’s a great play at a very reasonable salary tonight.
Other options: Tyreke Evans, Andrew Wiggins, Bogdan Bogdanovic
Paul George ($9,000 / $9,100)
If Westbrook and Anthony sit tonight, it’s pretty clear that George will be the de facto top option both on the team and on the slate.
Last game without those two, George posted 29 points, 9 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals and a block in 34 minutes against his 2019 teammates (spoiler alert 😉 ). The best part? He posted a 42.7% usage rate. That is INSANE.
Harrison Barnes ($6,800 / $6,300)
SF2 is an absolute mine-field tonight, so a Jimmy Butler/Paul George pairing would be fantastic. If you don’t have the salary, Barnes is a fine pivot.
He doesn’t offer you a massive ceiling, but the inflated over/under of the game provides a nice opportunity for a ceiling game, especially with Wes Matthews and Dirk Nowitzki inactive. With them off of the court, Barnes sees a 24.5% usage rate.
Other options: Jimmy Butler, Joe Ingles, Royce O’Neale
Dwight Powell ($6,000 / $5,100)
Dirk Nowitzki is out and Powell is going through his best stretch of the season. Over his last 4 games, he’s posted 30+ FDP in three of the last four and has topped at least 17 raw points in all three of those games.
He’s averaged 28.5 minutes over that stretch and should have no problem hitting 30 tonight. The Rockets are stingy against the PF position (29th in the league in DvP), but the opportunity is there for Powell.
Taj Gibson ($5,800 / $5,600)
Gibson is a reliable cash-game play day in and day out. He’s not one to expect a ceiling game out of, but in the right matchup, he’s a great asset.
The Kings are a bottom third team against the PF position (38.2 FDP per game allowed over their last 10 games) and Gibson has also seen at least 33 minutes in 3 of his last 4 games.
He’s not a flashy play, but he’s a safe roster filler in cash games tonight.
Other options: Zach Randolph, Al-Farouq Aminu, Derrick Favors, JaMychael Green
Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,300 / $9,000)
Dollar for dollar, Town may be my favorite top tier play if Westbrook plays (eliminating George as top play). Over his last 5 games, he’s posted 20.2 points, 11.4 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He’s shot 63% from the field and a ridiculous 91% from the stripe.
The Kings are a middle-of-the-road matchup, but nothing Towns shouldn’t be able to handle. If anything, he’ll see a few extra minutes to contain Willie Cauley-Stein.
Clint Capela ($8,100 / $7,700)
While I love Towns, Clint Capela is my center play tonight.
He just torched the Nuggets for 23 points and 25 rebounds in only 28 minutes of action and now gets to take on the second-worst rebounding team in the NBA. In his last meeting with the Mavs, Capela saw 33 minutes of playing time and posted 16 points, 13 rebounds, 2 steals and 2 blocks, giving him over 5x at his current price point.