NBA Value Plays – 1/19

  1. Plays are based solely on opposition and pricing.
  2. FanDuel and DraftKings prices listed respectively.

• Point Guard

Darren Collison [ $5,300 / $5,600 ] Tonight’s meeting between Indiana and Los Angeles is expected to be very competitive, with an over/under of 214.5 and a mere 2 point spread, allowing Darren Collison some favorable minutes. Collison has gone for 27.6+ FanDuel points in 3 of his past 4 contests, and the Lakers have been terrible against point guards over their previous 10 outings.

Tyler Ulis [ $4,300 / $4,100 ] Opposing point guard Jamal Murray is doubtful to play, which could ease things for Tyler Ulis a bit, who all in all has played quite well as of recent, putting up 20.9+ FanDuel points in 4 of his last 5 games. While Ulis tends to see erratic minutes, he is in a solid spot, however, with that being said, he’s still unpredictable and should be considered a gpp dart.

• Shooting Guard

Josh Hart [ $4,500 / $4,600 ] With Lonzo Ball and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope out, as well as Brandon Ingram questionable, LA is running low, meaning, Josh Hart should get the starting nod, along with some nice overall run and usage. Hart will undoubtedly be one of tonight’s premier chalk plays, and I too will be playing him – my only real concern is that he will draw Victor Oladipo.

Wayne Ellington [ $4,400 / $4,800 ] Tyler Johnson has been ruled out for tonight’s contest with the Brooklyn Nets, giving Wayne Ellington more playing time, to which he has taken advantage of and performed great this season for the Heat. The Nets run at the league’s 5th fastest pace, and while they’ve been somewhat better defensively, they still remain a very targetable matchup.

• Small Forward

Wilson Chandler [ $5,000 / $4,300 ] Denver has been going a little smaller with their lineups lately, shifting Wilson Chandler into the starting core, and he has been solid over his previous 2 matches, putting up 22.6+ FanDuel points in that span. Phoenix plays at the 4th fastest pace among the league, and holds the 29th ranked defense, boasting a tough 109.5 team defensive rating.

Dillon Brooks [ $3,900 / $4,200 ] Chandler Parsons will be sidelined, tonight, affording Dillon Brooks even more time, and in his past couple of games, he’s been excellent, going for 24.8 and 27.5 FanDuel point efforts, respectively. Sacramento owns the league’s worst defense, possessing a dismal 110.2 team defensive rating, and allows opponents to shoot at a 48% field goal clip.

• Power Forward

Larry Nance Jr. [ $4,900 / $4,800 ] As mentioned above, the Lakers are short handed, and Julius Randle is reportedly playing through an injury, which supports the likes of Larry Nance Jr., who is capable of a ton. Indiana has been crushed by opposing bigs all season, ranking as the 2nd worst DvP team against centers, and the 4th worst against power forwards, opening Nance.

Dragan Bender [ $4,500 / $4,600 ] Although Dragan Bender hasn’t been too good through his last 2 outings, Marquese Chriss is out, keeping him in the starting lineup, where he should see ample minutes to supply some production. If you need a cheaper priced guy, Bender isn’t a bad option, and while I do expect him to perform better, the Nuggets are extremely solid rebounders.

• Center

Marcin Gortat [ $5,000 / $5,200 ] In the previous matchup between the Wizards and Pistons, Marcin Gortat played 31 minutes of action, putting up a massive 41.9 FanDuel point outing, fueled by 12/12 with 3 assists and 4 steals. Even with opposing center Andre Drummond’s insane ability to board the ball, the Pistons only rank 21st in rebounding percentage, grabbing just 49.5%.

Mason Plumlee [ $4,700 / $4,400 ] Like Nikola Jokic, Mason Plumlee is in a smash spot, just on another, lower level, and in the last matchup, he put up 37.6 FanDuel points, propelled by a massive 7/8/5 and 6 assist stat line. The Suns give up an average of 47.6 points in the paint per game, which should allow Plumlee to play smoothly during his time on the court and provide value.

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