NBA Value Plays 12/23
What’s going on Fancavers?! We’ve got a juicy 12 game slate on our hands today and lots of value to go with it!
Shabazz Napier $4,500 – Dame Dolla has already been ruled out for tonight’s game against LAL and Napier comes in at great value. He didn’t start last night, but was very productive. He played 37 minutes scored 14p and dished out 5a for 35 fps. While his matchup against LAL isn’t as juicy as last nights against DEN, I think Napier is near a must play tonight. The pace will be about the same as last night and that’s where Napier will excel. He’s gritty and stuffs the stat sheet. Look for him to exceed 5x value again tonight.
Wayne Ellington $3,800 – While the severity of Dion Waiters ankle injury hasn’t been announced yet one thing is for sure, if he misses the game tonight Ellington is another lock for value for me. Last night he played 39 minutes, scored 28p and ended up with 32 fps. While Ellington’s value relies a lot on his scoring output, it’s safe to say the Pelicans play very little D. With MIA already bring short handed in the back court Ellington will absorb a lot of minutes and have another opportunity to crush value with Waiters out.
Wilson Chandler $4,700 – Chandler will be a popular value play tonight and rightfully so. He’s playing a ton of minutes (41,37 and 35 his last 3 games) and his price has hardly moved. In those games he’s produced scoring 32, 28 and 29 fps. GS is an interesting matchup for Chandler because of the pace and the lack of defense they play (giving up 105.3 ppg), so if Den can keep it close Chandler should be able to reach value.
Trey Lyles $4,400 – Trey Lyles anyone? Yeah, that’s what I was thinking too. But, honestly he’s in a great spot tonight. He’s scored above 20 fps in 8/10 games and has been getting high 20s in minutes on a nightly basis. Even with Draymond defense I like Lyles because of the pace of the game and he can stretch the floor with his shooting.
Joffery Lauvergne $3,500 – With Pau Gasol already ruled out for the game Lauvergne becomes a great value candidate. With Gasol out last night Lauvergne played 25 minutes and scored 11p and grabbed 6r for 15fps against UTA. I like his matchup more tonight and think he can easily hit 5x value.