NBA Plays of the Day – 11/14
- Plays are based on stats, opposition, and pricing.
- FanDuel and DraftKings prices listed respectively.
- Averaged 17-18 Season stats after player’s names.
• Point Guard
Kyrie Irving – 20/5/3 [ $8,500 / $8,200 ] After missing 2 games with a minor facial fracture, Kyrie Irving will suit up and play tonight against Brooklyn, while wearing a fitted mask. Irving will get a smooth transition back, as the Celtics take on the Nets, who are without D’Angelo Russell for some time. This game heavily favors a defensive juggernaut like Boston, as the Brooklyn Nets play at the highest pace in the league and are awful defensively, ranking near the bottom with a 106.7 team defense rating.
Kyle Lowry – 13/6/4 [ $7,700 / $7,700 ] Since signing a 3 year / 100M contract, Kyle Lowry hasn’t quite looked like himself and while he has been productive, he hasn’t scored much. Lowry has failed to reach 20 points in a game all season, but has a nice matchup to turn things around, with James Harden likely to guard him. While Houston has been solid on defense, collectively, the place to attack them would be in a matchup with Harden, who is known give up on plays, as evidenced by his entire career.
Dennis Smith Jr. – 14/4/3 [ $6,300 / $5,600 ] Dennis Smith Jr. has been consistent and electrifying in his rookie campaign, only failing to reach a minimum of 20.4 FanDuel points once. Smith’s explosiveness give him an edge over defenders, as he has accumulated a couple of big games against Washington and Cleveland, filling up the stat sheet, while doing so in just about 30 minutes per game. Tonight’s matchup, Patty Mills, is a bit undersized and is a woeful defender, owning a 108.9 defensive rating.
• Shooting Guard
James Harden – 30/10/4 [ $12,500 / $12,300 ] Over his last 5 games, James Harden has been very impressive, with double doubles in all but one of those outings, along with an array of other stats. Toronto ranks dead middle in team defense, with a 103.5 rating, but gives up a ton of fast break points at 13.4 per game, which places them bottom 4 in the league. Harden has the capability to drop a triple double every game and could be guarded by OG Anunoby, who is a solid defender, but still a rookie.
DeMar DeRozan – 24/4/3 [ $8,100 / $8,000 ] Similarly to his teammate, Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan has seen a drop in his scoring, but also a bit elsewhere too. While DeRozan is still shooting well at 45.3% from the field, as well as 30.3% from three, both of which are above his career averages, his numbers are down from last year’s 2,000 point eclipsing season. However, tonight’s matchup has a steady pace to it and if he matches Eric Gordon on defense, he has a size advantage and the skill to eat.
Marcus Smart – 9/5/4 [ $6,200 / $6,300 ] Marcus Smart has seen a steady influx of usage and minutes this season and has been a major contributor with Gordon Hayward out for the year. The Celtics have been the best defensive team in the league, owning an insane 95.4 team defensive rating, which Smart has greatly influenced. Coming off the bench is a great spot for him, as it will open up minutes where he is the main beneficiary, while he will also see heavy minutes with the starters, where he thrives too.
• Small Forward
Harrison Barnes – 19/1/7 [ $6,900 / $6,100 ] Harrison Barnes has taken over a Harden-esque type role for the Mavericks, where he has a usage of 24.1%, but hasn’t played a lick of defense, owning an awful 112.7 defensive rating. Barnes, however, is playing fairly well and with all the injuries Dallas has suffered with already this year, he has been their primary source of offense. Tonight, he gets Danny Green who is known for his defense, but is coming off a hamstring injury and hasn’t looked like himself.
Jaylen Brown – 14/1/6 [ $6,200 / $6,700 ] While Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart, Al Horford and others have seen an increase in minutes and usage, Jaylen Brown has developed into more than just a role player. Brown has shown flashes of future two-way stardom and has produced for the Celtics this season, playing 32 minutes per game, nearly doubling last year. This game has his name written all over it and the matchup certainly elevates him to a top play, with an implied total of 206.5 – the second highest.
Trevor Ariza – 10/2/4 [ $5,700 / $5,100 ] Trevor Ariza has been the consistent, tough player that Houston has needed, while Chris Paul has been out for an extensive period of time with a knee injury. Ariza has produced a minimum of 24.2 FanDuel points in his last 6 games and comes at a cheap cost on both sites. As the Houston Rockets continue to roll, holding first place in the Western Conference with an 11-3 record, expect them to keep up their recent play, which he has been a big contributor of.
• Power Forward
LaMarcus Aldridge – 21/8/1 [ $8,700 / $8,500 ] With Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker out, LaMarcus Aldridge has benefited greatly and taken much more responsibility on both ends. Aldridge has a massive usage rating of 27.8% and has shot the ball extremely well at 50% from the field and an impressive 40.9% from deep. In a matchup with Dallas, he should continue to smash, as they have been dreadful defensively and even more so against opposing bigs, owning a terrible 109.2 team defense.
Serge Ibaka – 13/5/1 [ $5,300 / $5,200 ] Serge Ibaka is having a fine start to the season, continuing to solidify himself as a feared defender down low, while also expanding his outside game. His matchup with Ryan Anderson is one that can be exploited, because despite Anderson’s recent success on defense, he isn’t that good of a defender and he definitely doesn’t have an easy task with Ibaka. With an implied total of 218.5, you gotta have some shares of this man, as his price and scenario are too nice.
Jayson Tatum – 13/1/5 [ $5,100 / $6,200 ] Inserting Jayson Tatum into the starting lineup has worked out very well for the Boston Celtics, as he has been exactly, if not more than what they expected. Tatum has tremendous potential and with Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, and others garnering much of the defensive attention, his game opens up – pretty much a lock on FanDuel. The C’s are a reoccurring theme for a reason in this article, solely that the Brooklyn Nets are stunningly bad in all things defensive minded.
Al Horford – 15/8 [ $7,800 / $7,600 ] Once again, another Celtic makes the list, but all around Al Horford has been remarkable this season and looks to be having one of his best year’s in his career. That may seem like an overstatement, which I do realize, but Horford has been great defensively, with a 95.0 defense rating and really asserting himself on the boards. Not to mention his shooting stats have skyrocketed from his last season, as he is shooting a cool 55.7% from the field and 48.7% from three point.
Clint Capela – 13/11/1 [ $7,500 / $7,100 ] Clint Capela has been playing a lot more, which they wanted him to improve on, as he is averaging 25.9 minutes per game and 31+ in his last 3 outings. Capela has become a huge factor in the Rocket’s success and figures to continue seeing big minutes as they and he play as they have been. Tonight, he gets Jonas Valanciunas, who has struggled mightily over his career on the defensive end, especially this season, where he possesses a tough 113.9 defense rating.
Pau Gasol – 10/8/1 [ $6,600 / $6,500 ] I will say this, if you can get some sort of combination with either Al Horford, Clint Capela, and Pau Gasol in your DraftKings lineup, you will probably see some great success, tonight. Last game, Gasol torched the Chicago Bulls, going off for 21 points, 10 rebounds, 4 assists and a couple blocks with a steal. He is in a similar situation to his teammate, LaMarcus Aldridge, as the Dallas Mavericks are struggling to stop anyone and the Spurs have a great offensive plan.
Extras: Dinwiddie, Gordon, Anderson, Miles, Booker.