Value Plays For 10/21

The first weekend of the NBA season is here and it should be a good one! There’s a lot of value on this slate and a legit chance you could punt at both PG spots and be successful tonight. Check out my value plays and let me know what you think on twitter @FanCaveCody1 

PG

JJ Barea $3,900 – This is about as easy as it gets for value. Barea is a no brainer on tonight’s slate with Dennis Smith out for a couple games. Barea filled in nicely last night as the starter for the Mavs, where he almost recorded a double- double ( 9p, 10a and 30fps).  He has a juicy matchup with HOU tonight where he will see either Harden or Gordon defense. Plus the pace should be high due to no defense from HOU ( the o/u is posted at 215 currently). Lock Barea in and don’t look back.

Dj Augustin $3,000 – Another player that will be starting due to injury ( Elf has already been ruled out for the game). The beauty of this play is the Cavs are already down 2 Pg’s with IT and Rose out so Augustin’s matchup will most likely be Jose Calderon. I don’t see Augustin being slowed down in that matchup. The Magic are averaging 118 per game and I don’t consider the Cavs an elite defense, so Augustin could really crush value tonight at min price.

SG

Terrence Ross $5,000 – Here he is again! I wrote about Ross last night  and he was right around 5x value against BKN. With Elf out, I think he gets a bump. He also has a pretty good matchup against the Cavs where he will see multiple defenders like Wade and JR Smith.

Lou Williams $4,900 – The ultimate 6th man is back again and he needs no introduction. Lou Will does what Lou Will has always done and that’s score the rock. In his first game with LAC he scored 12p and dished out 6a, which was good for 29 fps. He has a juicy matchup tonight with PHO. The o/u for this game is currently at 221 and PHO has given up an average of 128 points so far this year.

***Sneaky GPP play is Tim Hardaway Jr. $4,900. His Dad is a coach for the Pistons and he will want to show out in front of Pops at home.

SF

TJ Warren $5,200 – Warren had a huge game last night against LAL where he dropped 24p and grabbed 8r for 43 fps. I’m looking for similar production tonight against LAC where he will be matched up with Gallinari (who is a defensive liability). As I mentioned above the game should be very fast paced and high scoring. Get your shares of Warren because I think he’s in a great spot to crush value.

Joe Ingles $4,500 – AKA Gordon Haywards replacement. In all seriousness Ingles is a fine basketball player and great value play any given night. He doesn’t have the best matchup tonight against OKC, but he stuffs the stat sheet and plays a lot of minutes ( 32 and 34 so far in the Jazz’s first 2 games).

Dillion Brooks $4,000 – I’m not a huge Brooks fan only because he helped ruin Michigan’s basketball run last year in the NCAA Tournament, but the word around the NBA so far is MEM got a steal. After his first game you can kind of see why. He played the second most minutes for the Grizz (29) and produced. He scored 19p, grabbed 5r and finished with 44 fps. Brooks has a good matchup in what should be a fast paced game against GS. If his shot is falling he could crush value again.

PF

Kelly Olynyk $4,400 – With Whiteside out for tonight’s game, I believe Olynyk becomes even more valuable for the MIA. He will have a great matchup against IND’s lackluster frontcourt. He scored 10p and grabbed 5r in his first game which was good for 20 fps. With the bump in playing time he should produce even more.

C

Jahil Okafor $4,200 – One of the bigger mysteries in the NBA imo. But, with Embiid out tonight he is worth a mention. I did this before last year in the same situation, but it failed because Okafor looked lost on the court. So I would wait to see the starting lineup before locking him in.

Bam Adebayo $3,000 – This is pure speculation with Whiteside out, considering he only got 5 minutes of PT in their first game But, logic says Adebayo should get a bump against TOR tonight. He was really successful in college on the boards and dunks. No reason he can’t do that tonight if he gets enough minutes at min price.

 

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