EPL DFS Advice – Saturday 10/21/17
Welcome to week 2 of my EPL DFS advice. Last week, my hot take that someone with a Chelsea stack would take down a GPP was a major failure. The Blues were extremely disappointing, and as a Chelsea fan I had to cry myself asleep for a mid-day nap after that embarrassment. Some of my plays last week were admittedly trash, but it happens. However, my advice on a Manchester City stack in the midfield worked, along with many of my defender and goalkeeper plays turning out well too. Anyways, let’s get to this week’s advice.
Gabriel Jesus (Burnley @ Manchester City, $12,000) and Sergio Aguero ($11,000) – Last week I told you to fade Gabriel Jesus, and it burned me. Now I know better. Manchester City is a juggernaut offensively, and they cannot be ignored. Trust me. I learned the hard way. Manchester City is averaging an insane 3.6 goals per game, and who is more likely to score goals than their forwards? I have both Jesus and Aguero listed together because one of them will most likely not be starting Saturday. Aguero is recovering from a rib injury after being in a car accident, and his status will remain unknown until Saturday before kickoff. If he is healthy and earns the start, Jesus will probably return to the bench unless Pep Guardiola decides to roll with 2 forwards. Manchester City draws a little bit of a tougher matchup this week. Their opponent Burney have only conceded 0.75 goals per game on average. However, Manchester City could probably put up multiple goals on just about any team they face right now.
Joselu (Crystal Palace @ Newcastle, $10,000) – Joselu has the best matchup out of all the forwards this week, and it’s showing in his price. Crystal Palace defense gives up just over 2 goals per game. Joselu is the main striker for Newcastle. Although Newcastle is not known for their ability to score goals, Crystal Palace’s defense is the worst in the league. Joselu will have an opportunity at a big game this weekend.
Jamie Vardy (Leicester City @ Swansea City, $9,500)
Tammy Abraham (Leicester City @ Swansea City, $8,500) – Another forward with a nice matchup this week is Swansea City striker Tammy Abraham. Abraham has scored 3 goals in his last 3 matches, and will look to continue his streak against Leicester at home. Leicester City has given up 13 goals so far this season, which is good for 4th most in the league. Tammy Abraham is a good bet to get on the score sheet this weekend.
Anthony Martial (Manchester United @ Huddersfield Town, $8,500) – If Anthony Martial gets the starting nod over Marcus Rashford on Saturday, he will be in a great spot for success. Manchester United have been struggling offensively recently, and inserting Martial into the starting XI could provide the spark they need. The odds-makers are putting the over/under for goals at 4 for this game, which is the highest on the slate. Given Martial starts, he makes a great cheap option at forward this weekend.
Manchester City – The four highest priced midfielders are all Manchester City players. Crazy! All four of these players are super hard to ignore given the season Manchester City is having so far. If you have the money to pay up for a midfielder de Bruyne, Silva, Sterling, and Sane are all viable options this week, and they will continue to be until further notice. Pick whichever fits your lineup best. If you’re in need of cheaper midfielders to target, keep reading.
Matt Ritchie (Crystal Palace @ Newcastle, $8,500) – I like Matt Ritchie this week for the same reasons I like Joselu (read above). Crystal Palace’s defense has holes all over the place. Ritchie is the most dynamic midfielder on Newcastle. Look for him to get involved in the attack early and often this week.
Wilfried Zaha (Crystal Palace @ Newcastle, $8,500) – So far I’ve bashed Crystal Palace twice (I think), but I do actually have some nice things to say about them. Their striker, Wilfried Zaha, was exceptional last week against Chelsea. In his long-awaited return from injury, he provided a massive spark for Crystal Palace en route to their first win of the season. He ripped Chelsea’s defense apart creating chances for himself or his teammates often. His opponent this week, Newcastle, do not give up a ton of goals. However, Zaha looked very impressive last week. Look for him to build on that performance with another good one this week.
Gzregorz Krychowiak (West Bromwich Albion @ Southampton, $7,000), Dusan Tadic (West Bromwich Albion @ Southampton, $7,500)
James Tarkowski (Burnley @ Manchester City, $6,000) and Stephen Ward ($6,500) – I wrote about these two last week as well, and I’ll do it again. The main thing I like to look for in choosing affordable defenders is who they are playing. If they’re playing a weak attacking team, I’m not rostering them. However, if they’re playing a strong attacking team like Manchester City, I want them. Tarkowski and Ward will have endless opportunities at clearances, interceptions, tackles, and blocked shots. Look for both of them to pile up a lot of these defensive stats in this weekend.
Zanka (Manchester United @ Huddersfield Town, $6,000) – Zanka is another defender who is bound to see a lot of action this week against Manchester United. Although they’ve struggled offensively lately, Manchester United will still dominate this game possession-wise. Zanka is a steady defender averaging 15 fantasy points per game. He should eclipse that average this weekend.
Kurt Zouma (Bournemouth @ Stoke City, $6,500), Federico Fernandez (Leicester City @ Swansea City, $6,000)
Kasper Schmeichel (Leicester City @ Swansea City, $5,500) – Schmeichel has been a save-monster for the last 2 seasons. This season has been a little different for the Leicester goalkeeper. The back line in from of him is worse, and they are letting more attackers get good looks in front of the goal. However, Schmeichel has the talent to make some spectacular saves. He is a good candidate for a decent number of saves this week, however I do not like him for the clean sheet bonus.
Ederson (Burnley @ Manchester City, $4,500) – One thing Manchester City’s top-notch attack does is it keeps the ball away from their own net. Ederson is the best bet for a clean sheet this week. Burnley only score 1 goal per game, and Ederson only gives up 0.5 goals per game. Ederson will not need to make many saves, but I think he gets the clean sheet bonus.
Jack Butland (Bournemouth @ Stoke City, $4,500)