Hey all, Matt here (NOVA), super excited about this new endeavor I have been chosen to partake in with my boys Joe Metz, Jacob Wright and many many others. Pumped to not only be able to be a part of a new up-and-coming community, but also glad to be able to have a way to communicate effectively with all of YOU!
This article serves as a help guide for those participating in “Survivor” leagues. Below you will find my top 3 picks of the week, with a brief description of why they are worth choosing. There will be a rating between 1-5 on “safety” of each pick, as well as a rating for value of each team being chosen. For those that don’t know, a survivor pool is a pool of competitors, where each week you are given the task to chose a team who you think will win.
You may only chose the team once throughout the season. So there is a strategy to this… First you are going to want to take a look at the value of each team later on in the season. For example the Browns would have a value rating of 0, because they have a very small chance of getting a win throughout the season. A team like the Patriots will have the value of 5 because any given week you can chose them and they have a high probability of winning, so you will want to save the high value teams as long as possible. Secondly, you look at the safety of each pick, so you know they will win their matchup.
Picks up to date (Week 6):
Well unfortunately that is two bad picks in a row, big favorites not coming up where they needed and should’ve won.
But back to it…
This week is looking like another tough week, no spreads above 6.5, there are specifically two teams I want to target. The first would definitely be the New York Giants. The Seattle Seahawks will be playing them and there is no way they should’ve beat Denver last week. It was a FLUUUUUUUKE! Anyways, this should be an easy victory by Seattle. Safety Rating: 3 | Value Rating: 3
The next team I am going to be targeting is the New Orleans Saints – I do not trust Hundley and really cannot see him keeping up with the high velocity QB of Brees. This spread seems a little too low for me because Hundley is no where as close to the skill-set of Rodgers. Yes Brees on the road is not as good as at home Brees, but I can’t see him losing to the Rodgers-less Pack. Safety Rating: 3 | Value Rating: 3
I usually have a 3rd pick in this spot, but I honestly do not have a comfortable pick that I would want to bet on. If I had to chose one more it would be either the Philadelphia Eagles or the Pittsburgh Steelers.. I will be choosing both in my picks ATS article.