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Below, I have decided to dissect my favorite sleeper play at each position (minus kicker, because yeah).
QB | Jay Cutler
Shut up and read. Don’t throw this article out because the first name you see is Smokin’ Jay Cutler. He’s actually in a great spot this week if you’re in need of a streamer (Derek Carr owners) or if you want a low-owned punt in a large-field tournament.
He takes on the Tennessee Titans and boy has their defense been brutal. The Titans rank 31st in overall team DVOA and 29th in pass DVOA. They surrendered 5 total touchdowns to a rookie quarterback last week and gave up 52 points.
They Dolphins had a rough week last week, I know, but Cutler is still rocking a 66.7% completion percentage and has some dangerous wideouts in Jarvis Landry and Devante Parker. Don’t rule out a nice 300 yard 2-3 touchdown game for Cutler, just expect a turnover or two as well.
RB | Wayne Gallman
Gallman checks in as my favorite sleeper of the week, a tough pill to swallow, but for good reason. The Giants running game has been stagnant at best this season, with Paul Perkins showing he doesn’t deserve to have a job and Orleans Darkwa nursing a back injury. Gallman stepped in last game as the most impressive back, rushing 11 times for 42 yards and catching 2 passes for 8 yards and a touchdown.
With Paul Perkins out this week, it looks like Gallman will take the lead in the backfield with Ben McAdoo using a “hot hand” approach.
The Chargers have allowed the second most rushing yards in the league this season and rank 18th in rush DVOA. With so much focus on the passing game, the Chargers defense could very well forget about Gallman and allow him room to run. If you, like myself, are scrapping for a running back to replace David Johnson, give Gallman a shot.
WR | Jaron Brown
If I told you an Arizona wideout played 95% of the offensive snaps last week, you would guess Larry Fitzgerald. No. Then you would guess John Brown. No. JJ Nelson? Nope. It was none other than Jaron Brown.
He’s played 90% of snaps in back to back weeks and has 29 targets over the last three weeks.
The Eagles rank in the bottom half of the league in pass DVOA and are allowing 285 receiving yards per game. He’s the top value play on the board on daily sites and makes for a fine WR3/Flex option this week.
TE | Hunter Henry
A popular breakout candidate coming into this season, Henry has, for the most part, been a massive disappointment. He’s failed to catch a pass in two of four weeks this season, but there’s reason for optimism this week.
The Giants have been downright brutal against opposing tight ends. Through for weeks, here are the stat lines they’ve allowed:
- 7-59-1 (Witten)
- 5-42-1 (Ebron)
- 8-55-1 (Ertz)
- 4-80-1 (Brate)
If there’s any week for Hunter Henry to break out, this is the week.
D/ST | Baltimore Ravens
Typically I wouldn’t recommend a defense against the Oakland Raiders, but this week is different. Derek Carr is expected to miss multiple weeks with a fracture in his back, leaving E.J. Manuel under center. Yikes.
Over his career, he’s only completed 58.5% of his passes and thrown 19 touchdown compared to 27 turnovers. YES, 27. 16 of those being interceptions to go along with 11 fumbles.
Michael Crabtree is expected to play this week, but is he at 100%? We don’t know. Marshawn Lynch has been a non-factor this season and Amari Cooper has done Amari Cooper things – drop passes.
Fire up the Ravens defense with confidence this week.